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THIS IS A VERY GOOD ARTICLE. VERY VERY GOOD – Dear Joe, It’s Not About Iran’s Nukes Anymore Biden wants to reinstate the nuclear deal, but first he must confront the new Middle East. Thomas L. Friedman By Thomas L. Friedman

Biden wants to reinstate the nuclear deal, but first he must confront the new Middle East.

Thomas L. Friedman

By 

Opinion Columnist

Protesters in Iran burning pictures of Donald Trump and Joe Biden after the assassination last week of Iran’s leading nuclear scientist.
Protesters in Iran burning pictures of Donald Trump and Joe Biden after the assassination last week of Iran’s leading nuclear scientist.Credit…Arash Khamooshi for The New York Times

With the assassination by Israel of Iran’s top nuclear warhead designer, the Middle East is promising to complicate Joe Biden’s job from day one. President-elect Biden knows the region well, but if I had one piece of advice for him, it would be this: This is not the Middle East you left four years ago.

The best way for Biden to appreciate the new Middle East is to study what happened in the early hours of Sept. 14, 2019 — when the Iranian Air Force launched 20 drones and precision-guided cruise missiles at Abqaiq, one of Saudi Arabia’s most important oil fields and processing centers, causing huge damage. It was a seminal event.

The Iranian drones and cruise missiles flew so low and with such stealth that neither their takeoff nor their impending attack was detected in time by Saudi or U.S. radar. Israeli military analysts, who were stunned by the capabilities the Iranians displayed, argued that this surprise attack was the Middle East’s “Pearl Harbor.”

They were right. The Middle East was reshaped by this Iranian precision missile strike, by President Trump’s response and by the response of Israel, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to Trump’s response.

A lot of people missed it, so let’s go to the videotape.

First, how did President Trump react? He did nothing. He did not launch a retaliatory strike on behalf of Saudi Arabia — even though Iran, unprovoked, had attacked the heart of Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure.

A few weeks later Trump did send 3,000 U.S. troops and some antimissile batteries to Saudi Arabia to bolster its defense — but with this message on Oct. 11, 2019: “We are sending troops and other things to the Middle East to help Saudi Arabia. But — are you ready? Saudi Arabia, at my request, has agreed to pay us for everything we’re doing. That’s a first.”

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It sure was a first. I’m not here to criticize Trump, though. He was reflecting a deep change in the American public. His message: Dear Saudis, America is now the world’s biggest oil producer; we’re getting out of the Middle East; happy to sell you as many weapons as you can pay cash for, but don’t count on us to fight your battles. You want U.S. troops? Show me the money.

NICHOLAS KRISTOF: A behind-the-scenes look at Nicholas Kristof’s gritty journalism, as he travels around the world.

That clear shift in American posture gave birth to the first new element that Biden will confront in this new Middle East — the peace agreements between Israel and the United Arab Emirates, and between Israel and Bahrain — and a whole new level of secret security cooperation between Israel and Saudi Arabia, which will likely flower into more formal relations soon. (Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel reportedly visited Saudi Arabia last week.)

In effect, Trump forced Israel and the key Sunni Arab states to become less reliant on the United States and to think about how they must cooperate among themselves over new threats — like Iran — rather than fighting over old causes — like Palestine. This may enable America to secure its interests in the region with much less blood and treasure of its own. It could be Trump’s most significant foreign policy achievement.

But a key result is that as Biden considers reopening negotiations to revive the Iran nuclear deal — which Trump abandoned in 2018 — he can expect to find Israel, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates operating as a loose anti-Iran coalition. This will almost certainly complicate things for Biden, owing to the second huge fallout from the Iranian attack on Abqaiq: The impact it had on Israel.

After Trump scrapped the nuclear deal, Iran abandoned its commitments to restrict its enrichment of uranium that could be used for a nuclear bomb. But since Biden’s election, Iran has said it would “automatically” return to its nuclear commitments if Biden lifts the crippling sanctions imposed by Trump. Only after those sanctions are lifted, said Tehran, might it discuss regional issues, like curbs on Iran’s precision missile exports and capabilities.

This is where the problems will start for Biden. Yes, Israel and the Sunni Arab states want to make sure that Iran can never develop a nuclear weapon. But some Israeli military experts will tell you today that the prospect of Iran having a nuke is not what keeps them up at night — because they don’t see Tehran using it. That would be suicide and Iran’s clerical leaders are not suicidal.

They are, though, homicidal.

And Iran’s new preferred weapons for homicide are the precision-guided missiles, that it used on Saudi Arabia and that it keeps trying to export to its proxies in Lebanon, Yemen, Syria and Iraq, which pose an immediate homicidal threat to Israel, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Iraq and U.S. forces in the region. (Iran has a network of factories manufacturing its own precision-guided missiles.)

If Biden tries to just resume the Iran nuclear deal as it was — and gives up the leverage of extreme economic sanctions on Iran, before reaching some understanding on its export of precision-guided missiles — I suspect that he’ll meet a lot of resistance from Israel, the U.A.E. and Saudi Arabia.

Why? It’s all in the word “precision.” In the 2006 war in Lebanon, Iran’s proxy militia, Hezbollah, had to fire some 20 dumb, unguided, surface-to-surface rockets of limited range in the hope of damaging a single Israeli target. With precision-guided missiles manufactured in Iran, Hezbollah — in theory — just needs to fire one rocket each at 20 different targets in Israel with a high probability of damaging each one. We’re talking about Israel’s nuclear plant, airport, ports, power plants, high-tech factories and military bases.

That is why Israel has been fighting a shadow war with Iran for the past five years to prevent Tehran from reaching its goal of virtually encircling Israel with proxies in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Gaza, all armed with precision-guided missiles. The Saudis have been trying to do the same versus Iran’s proxies in Yemen, who have fired on its airports. These missiles are so much more lethal.

“Think of the difference in versatility between dumb phones and smartphones,’’ observed Karim Sadjadpour, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment. “For the past two decades we have been consumed by preventing Iran’s big weapon, but it is the thousands of small smart weapons Iran has been proliferating that have become the real and immediate threat to its neighbors.’’

That is why Israel and its Gulf Arab allies are not going to want to see the United States give up its leverage on Iran to curb its nuclear program before it also uses that leverage — all those oil sanctions — to secure some commitment to end Iran’s export of these missiles.

And that is going to be very, very difficult to negotiate.

So, if you were planning a party to celebrate the restoration of the Iran-U. S. nuclear deal soon after Biden’s inauguration, keep the champagne in the fridge. It’s complicated.

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Psaki is of Irish,[6] Greek[7] and Polish[8] ancestry. She was born in Stamford, Connecticut, and graduated from Greenwich High School in 1996 and the College of William & Mary[9] in 2000. She is a member of the Chi Omega sorority.[10] At William & Mary, Psaki was a competitive backstroke swimmer for the William & Mary Tribe athletic team for two years.[10][11]

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Netanyahu participates in renewable energy confab hosted by India ‘The most important renewable energy is ingenuity and innovation’, PM tells virtual conference on promoting use of solar power By TOI STAFF 27 November 2020, 12:48 am 0 46 shares Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi hugs Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during a press conference at Hyderabad House in New Delhi on January 15, 2018. (AFP PHOTO / MONEY SHARMA) Illustrative: Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi hugs Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during a press conference at Hyderabad House in New Delhi on January 15, 2018. (AFP PHOTO / MONEY SHARMA) Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Thursday participated in an international conference on solar energy that was hosted by India. Addressing the digital conference of the International Solar Alliance, an international organization founded by India to promote solar-based renewable energy, Netanyahu noted that 10 percent of Israel’s energy comes from the sun. By 2030 that figure is expected to rise to 30%, he was quoted saying in a statement from his office. “We want a future with less carbon and less pollution, a future based on green energy and that’s why I welcome this vital initiative by Prime Minister Modi and I want to assure you that Israel is your partner in this quest,” Netanyahu said. Get The Times of Israel’s Daily Edition by email and never miss our top storiesFREE SIGN UP “I believe that the most important renewable energy is ingenuity and innovation,” he added. “And all the countries represented here, beginning with India and Israel, and all of you, are committed to seizing innovation in order to seize the future. And on that I think we can all be very, very hopeful.” The conference was also attended by Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte and ministers from the UK, Denmark and India. The Prime Minister’s Office said Netanyahu was personally invited to take part in the event by his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi. Netanyahu and Modi are close personal friends who often shower each other with public praise and good wishes. Netanyahu has placed a framed photograph of himself with the Indian premier strolling barefoot on an Israeli beach in his Jerusalem office, where all visiting leaders can see it. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, right, and his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi visit the water desalination plant at Olga beach, on July 06, 2017. (Kobi Gideon/GPO) Modi and Netanyahu have made official visits to each others countries. In September last year Netanyahu cancelled what would have been a one-day visit to India for a meeting with Modi less than a month before Israeli elections.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-participates-in-renewable-energy-confab-hosted-by-india/

B. Brooklyn 4h ago Times Pick I’ve always thought of Donald Trump as a louse, a liar, and a crook from the get-go, but let me tell you this: Not everything he did or said was appallingly wrong. The Iran deal was only wishful thinking, allowing transsexuals to compete as women on campus is unfair to women, and putting a cap on Asians getting into colleges so that far less qualified students can enter is totally counterproductive; colleges should not have to offer remedial classes. Leftist insistence on everyone’s qualifying as a victim makes for disunity and dysfunction. Tearing down statues of Abraham Lincoln, no less, because he was not pure enough for today’s activists, shows the depth of their ignorance and arrogance. I hope Trump goes to jail. I actually hoped worse for him all along, but now it’s almost too late. I could never vote for him. But put him or someone like him against a Bill de Blasio, any of “the squad,” or a Jumaane Williams, and I might consider blowing my brains out. Unless some level-headed moderates can recapture our government, we’re done. 2 Replies99 RecommendShare

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karen California 4h ago Times Pick I am black, but grew up in a white working class town before earning degrees from Stanford and Berkeley. The times writers cannot seem to understand that when people are shamed for who they are, they get angry and shut down. Trump, for all his flaws, allowed less educated whites to feel a sense of dignity and self worth – that being white does not mean needing to be constantly ashamed of who I am, and it is ok to be proud of being American. I am not excusing the “sins” of racism nor the mind boggling disregard for science (I m a biology and chemistry teacher), but people need to feel good about themselves – reptile brain, and if liberals want this demographic to change, they have to view them with compassion instead fo contempt. At 8 years old my family moved from an all black neighborhood in Philly to an all white one in a factory town in CT. And though there was one open racist in the neighborhood, everyone else treated me with kindness and respect. I swam in my friends pools, went to their parties, etc and this was mid 70s. Whites need to continue to examine and “own” white privilege. It is there & I have the psychological scars as proof. But shaming never works. These are people who are terrified at how their worlds are changing, and yes, the world needs to change but it might work better to treat them with compassion, they did not create white privilege, they inherited it and they are bewildered. Change can happen. But it requires patience, kindness and time. 14 Replies329 RecommendShare

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8:09 PM (14 minutes ago) to me Someone just viewed: “Fwd: Someone just viewed: Sanjay Dutt to have six releases in next two years /00:0000:00Listen to this article in audio ByBollywood Hungama News NetworkDec 26, 2018 – 5:23 pm IST Sanjay Dutt seems to be reviving the old guard as the actor has as many as six films coming out in the next two years. The actor wrapped up shooting for three films – Kalank, Tulsi Das and Prassthaanam in November this year, followed up with look tests for Shamshera. Now, Sanjay Dutt is gearing up to shoot three films one after the other. #Sanjay DuttSanjay Dutt to have six releases in next two years Sanjay Dutt has a chock-a-bloc schedule as he wrapped up his portions of Shamshera two weeks ago. After that, he went bald for Ashutosh Gowariker’s Panipat which went on floors in Mumbai on December 10 and the shoot is slated to continue till March. For the second schedule of the Panipat, he will undergo a makeover. Celebs grace Thackeray promotions event at YB Chavan AuditoriumRanveer Singh, Karan Johar,” People on thread: 208 Westhaven Drive 78746 Blog Post By Email Device: PC Location: Chicago, IL

"Sanjay Dutt to have six releases in next two years /00:0000:00Listen to this article in audio ByBollywood Hungama News NetworkDec 26, 2018 - 5:23 pm IST Sanjay Dutt seems to be reviving the old guard as the actor has as many as six films coming out in the next two years. The actor wrapped up shooting for three films – Kalank, Tulsi Das and Prassthaanam in November this year, followed up with look tests for Shamshera. Now, Sanjay Dutt is gearing up to shoot three films one after the other. #Sanjay DuttSanjay Dutt to have six releases in next two years Sanjay Dutt has a chock-a-bloc schedule as he wrapped up his portions of Shamshera two weeks ago. After that, he went bald for Ashutosh Gowariker’s Panipat which went on floors in Mumbai on December 10 and the shoot is slated to continue till March. For the second schedule of the Panipat, he will undergo a makeover. Celebs grace Thackeray promotions event at YB Chavan AuditoriumRanveer Singh, Karan Johar,"CLICK LINK BELOW

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For his part, she observes, “Trump has been saying: ‘What good have the Democrats done for you? At least with me, you’re earning more. Because I’ve kept the immigrants out. Lowered taxes.’ I think that’s his appeal: You may not love me, but you’re earning more.” That’s a message, as we learned just this month, that also has appeal to some Black and Latino voters. Open gallery view “Strangers in their Own Land: Anger and Mourning on the American Right,” by Arlie Russell Hochschild. “Strangers in their Own Land: Anger and Mourning on the American Right,” by Arlie Russell Hochschild.Credit: The New Press At the same, Hochschild says she hasn’t seen the Democrats saying, “Yeah, I get that.” In this way, she suggests, “Democrats are missing a great opportunity to say: Look, we [all] have a lot in common.” She qualifies that, saying that she sees President-elect Joe Biden as a politician who’s quite adept at scaling the empathy wall. As for his party, however, “they should get rid of the word ‘racism.’

https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/.premium.MAGAZINE-why-did-74-million-americans-vote-for-trump-this-sociologist-has-the-answer-1.9330836