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SECTIONS SEARCH SKIP TO CONTENTSKIP TO SITE INDEXPOLITICS Account How the Internet Viewed the First Presidential Debate: Poorly “The worst debate of all time,” one journalist wrote on Twitter. The debate as seen from a bar in Las Vegas. The debate as seen from a bar in Las Vegas.Credit…Bridget Bennett for The New York Times Matt Stevens By Matt Stevens Sept. 30, 2020 Updated 8:20 a.m. ET 238 In these polarized political times, it can sometimes feel as if Americans really cannot agree on anything. But Tuesday’s highly anticipated presidential debate, the first between President Trump and Joseph R. Biden Jr., the Democratic nominee, managed to achieve rare bipartisan consensus: Just about everyone offering commentary online agreed that the debate was an unmitigated disaster. ADVERTISEMENT Continue reading the main story Subscribe to The Times to read as many articles as you like. nytimes.com/subscription Site Index Site Information Navigation © 2020 The New York Times Company NYTCoContact UsWork with usAdvertiseT Brand StudioYour Ad ChoicesPrivacyTerms of ServiceTerms of SaleSite MapHelpSubscriptions

MORNING AFTER THE D BATE

The Upshot on Today’s Polls

Analysis of the day in polls, from now until Election Day.

By 

A snapshot of current polling averagesPolling misses are normal, and can be even bigger than they have been in recent years.
POLLING LEADER IF POLLS ARE AS WRONG AS THEY WERE IN…
2016 2012
U.S. +7 Biden +4 +11
Minn. +9 Biden +2 +10
N.H. +8 Biden +5 +11
Nev. +7 Biden +9 +10
Mich. +7 Biden +2 +12
Pa. +7 Biden +2 +8
Wis. +7 Biden <1 +9
Neb. 2* +7 Biden +8 +1
Maine 2* +3 Biden +8 +8
Ariz. +3 Biden +1 +2
Ohio +2 Biden +5 +2
N.C. +1 Biden +4 +1
Iowa <1 Biden +7 +4
Fla. <1 Biden +2 +2
Ga. <1 Trump +2 <1
Texas +3 Trump +5 +4
UPDATED SEPT. 30 12:54 PM ET
Exploring Electoral College outcomes
Electoral votes counting only states where a candidate leads by 3 or more:
291 Biden
125
Electoral votes if polling leads translate perfectly to results (they won’t):
359 Biden
179
Electoral votes if state polls are as wrong as they were in 2016†:
280 Biden
258
How polling averages have changedIndividual states are shown in order of the margin of victory in 2016, with the closest contests first.
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Sept. 30Biden +7Biden +750-4350-432016result2016resultNov. 3U.S.U.S.
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +7Biden +750-4350-4320162016MichiganMichigan
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +8Biden +851-4351-4320162016New HampshireNew Hampshire
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +7Biden +750-4450-4420162016PennsylvaniaPennsylvania
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +7Biden +750-4450-4420162016WisconsinWisconsin
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +<1Biden +<147-4747-4720162016FloridaFlorida
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +9Biden +951-4251-4220162016MinnesotaMinnesota
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +7Biden +749-4349-4320162016Nebraska 2*Nebraska 2*
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +7Biden +750-4350-4320162016NevadaNevada
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +3Biden +348-4548-4520162016ArizonaArizona
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +1Biden +148-4648-4620162016North CarolinaNorth Carolina
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Trump +<1Trump +<147-4747-4720162016GeorgiaGeorgia
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +2Biden +249-4749-4720162016OhioOhio
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Trump +3Trump +345-4845-4820162016TexasTexas
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +<1Biden +<147-4647-4620162016IowaIowa
Sept.Oct.Nov.R +10R +5D +5D +10D +15Biden +3Biden +349-4649-4620162016Maine 2*Maine 2*

Sept. 30, 2020, 9:35 a.m. ET

Biden wins instant polls.

Winners in these surveys typically gain in post-debate polls.

In the wake of Tuesday’s messy debate, we get a different kind of survey: a so-called instapoll. This is a survey of people who tell a pollster they will watch a debate and agree to take a poll after the debate is over. These surveys are quirky in some ways, but they do a decent enough job of helping us gauge the effect of a debate. This time, the news was generally good for Joe Biden.

Instant Poll Surveys of Who Won the Debate

CNN
60% Biden
28% Trump
CBS
47% Biden
40% Trump
Data for Progress
51% Biden
39% Trump

Solid instant results for Biden. CNN found that Mr. Biden decisively won the debate, 60 percent to 28 percent, while CBS News and an early cut from a Data for Progress poll found far closer seven- and 12-point leads for Mr. Biden.

Why the huge spread? Instant-reaction poll samples can be pretty biased. Often, you’re looking at respondents who have negotiated three steps: They agree to take a poll before a debate; they agree to take a poll after watching a debate; they actually follow through and participate in the poll after the debate. They’re also people who have watched a debate, who aren’t representative of the overall electorate.

On top of that, pollsters have to decide whether or how to undo those biases. The CBS poll, for instance, weighted its sample to match the demographic composition of people who had said they would watch the debate. Data for Progress’s poll reflected the “2016 electorate,” which may make their numbers relatively comparable to national polls. CNN’s methodological document doesn’t make it entirely clear how their sample was adjusted to be representative of people who watched the debate. All of this can lead to a huge spread in the results.

A deeper look is still good news for Mr. Biden. With all of these factors at play, it can be hard to know what to make of the instant poll results. You might be tempted to just discount them altogether.

But a closer look in this case raises the possibility of good news for Mr. Biden. His favorability rating improved by a net four percentage points, compared with how the same respondents answered before the debate. The president’s rating declined by a net four points.

Similarly, the CBS poll found that voters said the debate made them think better of Mr. Biden by a margin of 38 percent to 32 percent, while just 24 percent said the debate made them think better of President Trump and 42 percent said the debate made them think worse of him.

The results are kind of useful. Historically, the winner of these polls tends to gain in the real polls over the next week. John Kerry, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton all picked up a couple of points after debate performances that instant polls suggested they won.

This year, it’s hard to be sure whether to expect a similar shift. The national polls have been extremely steady compared with prior years (Mr. Biden has a consistent seven-point lead nationally in our average). And if there’s similar shift, it’s worth being cautious. It could just be the result of one candidate’s supporters being particularly energized or discouraged after a debate performance. We’ll have to wait a week or two before we know whether any post-debate shifts are durable.

The big picture: It’s hard to say anyone clearly won the debate last night, and that’s a win for Mr. Biden. He was the front-runner heading into the debate, and it was the president who needed a win to try to narrow the race. None of the instant poll results, whatever their merit, do much to dispel that view.

Sept. 29, 2020, 9:25 a.m. ET

Biden leads by enough to withstand a polling misfire.

New Pennsylvania polls give Biden a significant lead.

Exploring Electoral College outcomes

Electoral votes counting only states where a candidate leads by 3 or more:
279 Biden
163
Electoral votes if polling leads translate perfectly to results (they won’t):
359 Biden
179
Electoral votes if state polls are as wrong as they were in 2016†:
280 Biden
258

† Poll error in 2016 is calculated using averages of state polls conducted within three weeks of Election Day. Estimates as of Sept. 29, 2020.

For the first time since we started our poll tracker several weeks ago, Joe Biden leads by enough to withstand a repeat of the polling error in 2016.

If the polls were exactly as wrong as they were four years ago, Mr. Biden would hold the Clinton states and flip Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Nebraska’s Second District, giving him more than the 270 electoral votes needed to win.

The big shift: Pennsylvania. An ABC/Post poll overnight and a Times/Siena poll Monday showed Mr. Biden up by nine points in the state, giving him a far more comfortable lead there than Hillary Clinton held over the final stretch four years ago. It’s worth waiting for a few more high-quality polls to confirm if Mr. Biden has a big edge in Pennsylvania (it’s hard to overstate the electoral consequences if he does).

Of course, the polls won’t be exactly as wrong as they were in 2016. They could understate support for Donald J. Trump by an even greater degree. But there are good reasons to believe that many causes of 2016’s poll misfire are less likely this time around:

More pollsters now weight by education, which ensures that voters without a college degree make up an appropriate share of the sample. Many state polls had far too many college graduates four years ago, leading them to underestimate Mr. Trump.

There are far fewer undecided voters, who ultimately broke toward Mr. Trump across the Rust Belt. A similar late break among undecided voters this time would be less consequential.

A more stable race. Our estimate of the polling error in 2016 is a little unfair to pollsters: We’re looking at the average error over the final three weeks of the race. That includes polls taken after the “Access Hollywood” tape and before the Comey letter. Those polls showed Mrs. Clinton with a commanding lead. The final polls were more accurate, if still biased toward Mrs. Clinton.

This time, it’s probably less likely that the polls will swing greatly over the last few weeks of the race. After all, they’ve been far more stable over the last few months than they were at any point in 2016.

That doesn’t mean that we’re immune to another misfire. Indeed, most polling misses happen precisely because the causes can’t be anticipated. That’s why our tables on this page also include the polling miss from 2012, when surveys underestimated President Obama. But it also means there’s no reason the polls couldn’t be off by even more than they were four years ago.

Sept. 28, 2020, 8:47 p.m. ET

Biden maintains lead heading into debate.

A race teetering between a landslide and a tight race.

The first presidential debate is Tuesday, marking the beginning of the final stretch of the 2020 campaign. It’s a fine time to take a step back and look at the big picture.

The average of polls shows Joe Biden with a seven-point lead nationwide, giving him the largest lead of any candidate at this stage since Bill Clinton in 1996. He also has a consistent, if usually more modest, advantage across the battleground states.

If polling averages today translated perfectly to election results on Nov. 3 — and they won’t, it’s worth repeating — Mr. Biden would win nearly 360 electoral votes. If he outperforms the polls, he could win more than 400 electoral votes in the largest electoral landslide since 1988. That’s a real possibility.

But so many battleground states are close enough that the president’s re-election hopes are still alive. If he outperforms the polls as he did four years ago, he could certainly win.

It might seem odd for a landslide and a competitive race to seem so realistic. But consider this: Mr. Biden is closer in our poll average to winning Texas, which would get him over 400 electoral votes, than President Trump is to winning in traditional battleground states like Pennsylvania and Nevada.

State polls
POLLSTER MARGIN DIFF. FROM ’16 RESULT
Alaska
Harstad Strategic Research (Dem. pollster)
Sept. 20-23, 602 L.V.
Trump +1

46-47
+14D
N.C.
Meredith College
Sept. 18-22, 705 R.V.
Biden +1

46-45
+5D
Neb. 2*
New York Times/Siena College
Sept. 25-27, 420 L.V.
Biden +7

48-41
+9D
Nev.
University of Nevada, Las Vegas
Sept. 10-25, 641 L.V.
Biden +5

46-41
+3D
Ohio
SurveyMonkey
Sept. 1-25, 3,092 R.V.
Trump +2

48-50
+6D
Pa.
New York Times/Siena College
Sept. 25-27, 711 L.V.
Biden +9

49-40
+10D
Pa.
IBD/TIPP
Sept. 24-26, 774 L.V.
Biden +5

50-45
+6D
Texas
P.P.P. (Dem. pollster)
Sept. 25-26, 612 L.V.
Even

48-48
+9D
National polls
U.S.
Monmouth University
Sept. 24-27, 809 L.V.
Biden +5

50-45
+3D
U.S.
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
Sept. 14-27, 5,253 L.V.
Biden +10

52-42
+8D
U.S.
Echelon Insights (Rep. Pollster)
Sept. 19-25, 1,018 L.V.
Biden +9

51-42
+7D
U.S.
Harris Insights & Analytics
Sept. 22-25, 2,768 R.V.
Biden +5

45-40
+3D

Monday’s polls didn’t change the fundamental state of the race. The teetering between a possible landslide and a competitive race continues.

The biggest news came from Pennsylvania. This is arguably the single most important state keeping the president highly competitive, and a Times/Siena College poll on Monday showed Mr. Biden up nine points among likely voters. This was a result in the landslide category.

Now, it’s just one poll. It’s a good poll, if we may say so ourselves, but it’s still one poll. Indeed, there was an online poll today that showed Mr. Biden up five points there. So it’s not as if we can say that he has now taken a commanding lead in the state.

But it’s hard to overstate the electoral consequences if the Times/Siena poll is even in the ballpark. With Michigan and perhaps even Wisconsin slipping toward Mr. Biden, the president simply can’t afford for Pennsylvania to drift into a deficit in the upper-single digits as well.

Time will tell whether Mr. Biden has really taken a significant lead. Fortunately, we won’t have to wait long. ABC News/Washington Post will have a poll late Monday night, and Monmouth will poll Pennsylvania after the debate. There will be a Times/Siena poll after the debate as well.

If the balance of new high-quality polls confirms such a wide lead in the state, it will be devastating to the president’s re-election chances.

Biden has a backup plan. If Mr. Biden can’t pull off Pennsylvania, he has a backup plan: flip Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona; and win Nebraska’s Second Congressional District. It adds up to exactly 270 electoral votes, and a Times/Siena poll in Nebraska’s Second showed that Mr. Biden also had a comfortable lead there (seven points).

More tantalizing clues in Alaska. Alaska is a severely underpolled state, but a lot of people think the race there is close. Today, we got another clue of a competitive race: A Democratic firm, Harstad Strategic Research, found Mr. Trump leading by just one point. This is also in the landslide category. But it’s what we expect from polls by Democratic firms, which tend to release relatively favorable results for their preferred candidate, so don’t take this too far. We’re mainly flagging it as an opportunity to explore a state that we haven’t gotten to talk about.

Alaska hasn’t voted for a Democrat for president since 1964, but there are reasons to think it could be competitive. Mr. Trump won only 51 percent of the vote there in 2016, putting it right next to some highly competitive states, like Iowa and Ohio. The president won comfortably thanks to a large minor-party vote, but polls show Mr. Biden excelling among those who supported Gary Johnson and others in 2016. If Mr. Biden is faring well in Alaska, it will certainly fit a pattern. He has been doing really well in Northern rural states with an independent streak, like Maine and Montana.

As tantalizing as it may be, the state probably wouldn’t turn blue unless there was a blowout. A blue Alaska could have some important consequences for the U.S. Senate, but we don’t anticipate it deciding the presidential election. (I could go on about the extremely remote possibility that the Alaska House race decides an Electoral College tie in Mr. Biden’s favor, even if the state voted for Mr. Trump, but these posts are supposed to be short — maybe some other time.)

Elsewhere. Most of the polling today was of … varying quality. But it was nonetheless consistent with what we already thought. I would highlight Mr. Biden’s five-point lead in the Monmouth national poll. That’s one of Mr. Trump’s best results in a while, and it was by far his best news of the day. And many of the state polls in the Sun Belt, like in Nevada or North Carolina, were consistent with a competitive race, as they have been for most of the month.

State of the race: Mr. Biden maintains his advantage heading into the debates.

Sept. 28, 2020, 5:20 p.m. ET

New York Times/Siena College poll of Pennsylvania.

Joe Biden is up nine points in a crucial battleground.

New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters in Pennsylvania

Biden
49%
Trump
40%
Other
11%
Based on a New York Times/Siena College poll of 711 likely voters from Sept. 25-27, 2020.

My colleagues Trip Gabriel and Isabella Grullón Paz have the story. Some highlights:

  • A majority of likely voters in Pennsylvania — 51 percent — said they trusted Mr. Biden more to pick the next Supreme Court justice, whereas 44 percent said that about President Trump.

  • Nearly half of all voters, 47 percent, “strongly disapprove” of how Mr. Trump handles his job as president, evidence of entrenched opposition with five weeks until Election Day and voting already underway in Pennsylvania. A smaller share, 32 percent, strongly disapproved of Mr. Biden.

Sept. 28, 2020, 10:42 a.m. ET

New York Times/Siena College poll of Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District

An advantage in a small but potentially crucial contest.

New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District

Biden
48%
Trump
41%
Other
11%
Based on a New York Times/Siena College poll of 420 likely voters from Sept. 25-27, 2020.

In a close race, the presidential election could be decided by an unlikely spot: Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, including Omaha and most of its suburbs.

If the race is decided there, Joe Biden appears to have the advantage, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll. He leads President Trump by seven points, 48 percent to 41 percent, among likely voters in the first nonpartisan survey of the district so far this year, according to FiveThirtyEight.

The district is traditionally Republican, but Mr. Trump carried it by only two percentage points in 2016. It was even closer than familiar battleground states like Arizona or North Carolina.

The district’s demographics have made it an even more plausible pickup opportunity for Mr. Biden. It’s relatively white, metropolitan and well educated, and national polls routinely show Mr. Biden running ahead of Hillary Clinton’s 2016 performance among all three groups.

More details over at The Upshot.

Sept. 27, 2020, 7:34 p.m. ET

A significant national lead for Biden.

A quiet weekend of polling, and it was consistent with what we already knew.

State polls
POLLSTER MARGIN DIFF. FROM ’16 RESULT
Ga.
YouGov
Sept. 22-25, 1,164 L.V.
Trump +1

46-47
+4D
Mich.
Marist College
Sept. 19-23, 799 L.V.
Biden +8

52-44
+8D
Minn.
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Sept. 21-23, 800 L.V.
Biden +6

48-42
+4D
N.C.
YouGov
Sept. 22-25, 1,213 L.V.
Biden +2

48-46
+6D
S.C.
YouGov
Sept. 22-25, 1,080 L.V.
Trump +10

42-52
+4D
Wis.
Marist College
Sept. 20-24, 727 L.V.
Biden +10

54-44
+11D
National polls
U.S.
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
Sept. 13-26, 5,257 L.V.
Biden +10

52-42
+8D
U.S.
New York Times/Siena College
Sept. 22-24, 950 L.V.
Biden +8

49-41
+6D
U.S.
ABC News/The Washington Post
Sept. 21-24, 739 L.V.
Biden +8

52-44
+6D

Two polls, two substantial Biden leads. Joe Biden has been leading by about seven points nationally for as long as this page has been on the internet, and there’s no indication that’s changing. A new Times/Siena poll Sunday found him ahead by eight points, and a new ABC News/Washington Post poll had similar findings.

One twist: The ABC/Post poll released two sets of results for the presidential race. Mr. Biden led by 10 points in a one-on-one matchup against the president, but he led by six points in a four-way race with named minor-party candidates. Most polls asking both versions of the question haven’t shown anywhere near so large a gap, but Mr. Biden has tended to do about a point worse when the minor-party candidates are listed.

As an aside, our tables will average multiple versions of a poll, which is why they show Mr. Biden with an eight-point lead in the ABC/Post poll. At least in this case, that may be closer to the truth: Naming the minor-party candidates can often inflate their support, but it’s not a true one-on-one race either.

Be careful with new polls in Wisconsin and Michigan. There has been no shortage of good news for Mr. Biden in the Upper Midwest, and this weekend was no exception. NBC/Marist polls showed him with a significant lead in Michigan and Wisconsin. But this time, it’s worth taking those results with a grain of salt: They’re not weighted by education.

(Weighting by education is critical for understanding modern polling and what went wrong in 2016.) In practice, it means the NBC/Marist polls probably have too many college graduates represented and are probably too good for Mr. Biden.

Strong Democratic results in the Senate. CBS/YouGov joined a long list of firms to show very close races in Georgia and North Carolina. It also offered some promising news for Democrats in their pursuit of the Senate. It found Cal Cunningham up by 10 points against the Republican incumbent, Thom Tillis, in North Carolina, and even found Senator Lindsey Graham locked in a tight race with Jaime Harrison in South Carolina. Another poll, conducted by a Democratic firm, even found Mr. Harrison narrowly ahead.

State of the race at the end of the day: The same as it was on Friday: A solid lead for Joe Biden.

Sept. 27, 2020, 5:30 a.m. ET

New York Times/Siena College poll:

Biden leads by eight points nationally.

NYT/Siena poll of likely voters in U.S.

Biden
49%
Trump
41%
Other
10%
Based on a New York Times/Siena College poll of 950 likely voters from Sept. 22-24, 2020.

Some highlights:

  • A clear majority of voters believe the winner of the presidential election should decide who will fill the Supreme Court seat left open by the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. About 56 percent of likely voters said they preferred to have the election act as a sort of referendum on the vacancy. Only 41 percent said they wanted President Trump to appoint a justice before November.

  • The coronavirus pandemic, economic distress and racial justice protests have done little to reshape a presidential campaign that polls show has been remarkably stable. Joe Biden’s eight-point lead nationally is propelled by a wide advantage among women and voters of color. Mr. Biden has made gains among constituencies that strongly favored the president in 2016, including men and older voters.

My colleagues Jonathan Martin and Alexander Burns have the story.

Sept. 25, 2020, 7:28 p.m. ET

Polling calm before the debate.

And Joe Biden’s problem in a nutshell.

There weren’t many polls today, which is expected. It’s a Friday, and many pollsters will try to produce a final poll just before the debate Tuesday. That means they’re probably in the field or just wrapping up right now.

The polls we did get largely reinforced the big picture: a solid Biden lead, but with President Trump keeping it somewhat closer in the battleground states likeliest to decide the election.

To feel comfortable, Mr. Biden has one goal: claim a solid lead in just one more state. He has a fairly consistent lead in the states won by Hillary Clinton, plus Wisconsin and Michigan. From there, any other flipped battleground state would get him over the top. But that final piece — probably Pennsylvania, Florida or Arizona — hasn’t always given Mr. Biden a consistent or comfortable lead. Sometimes the polls are good for Mr. Biden. Sometimes they’re good for the president. The same can be said of today’s polls.

State polls
POLLSTER MARGIN DIFF. FROM ’16 RESULT
Ariz.
Data for Progress
Sept. 15-22, 481 L.V.
Trump +1

45-46
+3D
Fla.
Data for Progress
Sept. 15-22, 620 L.V.
Biden +3

46-43
+4D
Maine
Colby College
Sept. 17-23, 847 L.V.
Biden +11

50-39
+8D
Maine 1*
Colby College
Sept. 17-23, 416 L.V.
Biden +18

54-36
+3D
Maine 2*
Colby College
Sept. 17-23, 425 L.V.
Biden +3

46-43
+13D
Minn.
Suffolk University
Sept. 20-24, 500 L.V.
Biden +7

47-40
+5D
Nev.
ALG Research (Dem. pollster)
Sept. 15-21, 800 L.V.
Biden +4

47-43
+2D
Texas
Data for Progress
Sept. 15-22, 726 L.V.
Trump +1

45-46
+8D
National polls
U.S.
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
Sept. 11-24, 5,377 L.V.
Biden +10

52-42
+8D

Data for Progress, and Biden’s discomfort. Taken together, the Data for Progress results could be considered fine for Mr. Biden. The Texas result (Trump only +1) again raises the possibility that Mr. Biden could win in a landslide with more than 400 electoral votes.

But if the Data for Progress results are viewed through the lens of Mr. Biden’s quest for one last state with a comfortable lead, then none of the results are particularly good for him. They’re all fairly close, and Mr. Biden’s worst result — trailing by one in Arizona — comes in the state where it seemed most likely that Mr. Biden had a good shot of claiming some security.

Here’s a different way of looking at it: Mr. Trump can keep his hopes alive as long as he stays close in Pennsylvania, Florida and Arizona, but he’d be in serious jeopardy if any one of them slipped out of play. Today’s polls kept them in play.

A Democratic poll of Nevada that’s not so great for Biden? There’s also the poll of Nevada from ALG Research, a Democratic pollster. It’s a somewhat curious release. As a rule, the quality of partisan polls is as high as that of any reputable public pollster, but most of them are used only internally. Which means if you’re seeing a partisan poll released in the wild, it’s because someone wanted you to see it.

In this case, it’s not a particularly great result for Mr. Biden. He’s up four points in Nevada, a state Mrs. Clinton won in 2016, and it comes just after a Fox News poll showed Mr. Biden up by double digits there. Usually, partisan polls are released because they show good news for the party’s candidate. So why release bad news? Perhaps if you’re legitimately worried about a state, and want to make sure people take it seriously.

An early Supreme Court tidbit. ABC/Washington Post had a good set of numbers for Democrats on the coming Supreme Court battle, suggesting that more people trusted Mr. Biden to choose a Supreme Court justice, or would prefer that the winner of the election get to choose. The poll was taken before the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett, which undoubtedly could have a big effect on public opinion. But the results suggest that Democrats start on firm ground at the outset of what’s sure to be a bitter fight.

More national data to come. We’ll get a lot more data this weekend, including a new Times/Siena national poll, the rest of the ABC/Washington Post poll, and almost certainly more.

Historically, a lot of the major national pollsters like to conduct a poll just ahead of the debates, so they can come back and see how things change afterward. This year, the Supreme Court vacancy gives the big pollsters even more reason to weigh in.

The polls just ahead of the first debate tend to be pretty accurate. Here’s one that might surprise you: Four years ago, Mrs. Clinton led by just 1.2 points in national polling heading into the first debate, according to FiveThirtyEight. She wound up winning the national vote by 2.1 points — the pre-debate polling was even closer to the election result than the (already fairly accurate) final national poll numbers.

Today, Mr. Biden is up by just over seven points in our average.

Sept. 24, 2020, 8:44 p.m. ET

A bonanza of polls, but winding up at the same place.

With one exception: three eye-opening state polls from Fox News.

Today was a pretty typical day of polling for this point in the race. There were a lot of polls. Some were good and some were bad — whether in terms of quality or what it meant for your preferred candidate. But if you took all the polls together Thursday, you wound up in about the same spot you started at the beginning of the day, though Fox News did try to shake things up at the very end.

State polls
POLLSTER MARGIN DIFF. FROM ’16 RESULT
Ariz.
Data Orbital
Sept. 14-17, 550 L.V.
Biden +2

49-47
+6D
Ga.
New York Times/Siena College
Sept. 16-21, 523 L.V.
Even

45-45
+5D
Ga.
Data for Progress
Sept. 14-19, 800 L.V.
Even

46-46
+5D
Iowa
Monmouth University
Sept. 18-22, 402 L.V.
Trump +3

46-49
+6D
Iowa
New York Times/Siena College
Sept. 16-22, 501 L.V.
Biden +3

45-42
+12D
Mich.
YouGov
Sept. 10-21, 641 L.V.
Biden +6

51-45
+6D
Mich.
Data for Progress
Sept. 14-19, 455 L.V.
Biden +6

49-43
+6D
Ohio
Quinnipiac University
Sept. 17-21, 1,085 L.V.
Biden +1

48-47
+9D
Pa.
YouGov
Sept. 10-21, 642 L.V.
Biden +4

49-45
+5D
Pa.
Franklin & Marshall College
Sept. 14-20, 480 L.V.
Biden +6

48-42
+7D
Texas
New York Times/Siena College
Sept. 16-22, 653 L.V.
Trump +3

43-46
+6D
Texas
Quinnipiac University
Sept. 17-21, 1,078 L.V.
Trump +5

45-50
+4D
Wis.
YouGov
Sept. 10-21, 664 L.V.
Biden +4

50-46
+5D
National polls
U.S.
YouGov
Sept. 21-23, 1,125 L.V.
Biden +5

49-44
+3D
U.S.
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
Sept. 10-23, 5,369 L.V.
Biden +10

52-42
+8D
U.S.
Harris Insights & Analytics
Sept. 19-21, 2,803 R.V.
Biden +5

45-40
+3D
U.S.
Global Strategy Group/GBAO/Navigator Research
Sept. 17-21, 1,230 R.V.
Biden +11

53-42
+9D

If you’re a Biden supporter, you might have taken a measure of happiness from encouraging results in Ohio, Georgia and Iowa, including our own Times/Siena polls. You might also have fretted about your lowest national number from YouGov in a long time, or been disappointed that your dream of a Blue Texas was a little farther (down by three in our poll) from reality than you hoped. But the polls were almost exactly in line with the average in the most important battleground states, like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Arizona.

If you’re a Trump supporter, you may have found encouragement in YouGov numbers showing a mere five-point race nationwide and a tighter contest in Wisconsin and Michigan than other pollsters have found. But there was nothing that would have changed the fact that the president was behind in polling in states worth upward of 350 electoral votes, including Ohio and Iowa, which Mr. Trump carried easily four years ago.

Now about those Fox polls … The well-regarded Fox News polling team released three state surveys, in Nevada, Ohio and Pennsylvania. They were awfully good for Mr. Biden.

POLLSTER MARGIN DIFF. FROM ’16 RESULT
Nev.
Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research
Sept. 20-23, 810 L.V.
Biden +11

52-41
+9D
Ohio
Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research
Sept. 20-23, 830 L.V.
Biden +5

50-45
+13D
Pa.
Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research
Sept. 20-23, 856 L.V.
Biden +7

51-44
+8D

Fox has him up 11 in Nevada, a figure that evokes the 👀 emoji. Fox also has Mr. Biden up seven in Pennsylvania, the kind of result he had been looking for in recent days. And the poll showed Mr. Biden up five points in Ohio, a state Mr. Trump carried by eight points in 2016.

It’s great news for Mr. Biden, but it’s worth taking these results with a grain of salt. Fox News state polls have consistently had fantastic results for Mr. Biden, including near double-digit leads for him in Arizona and Wisconsin immediately after the Republican convention. And it’s also worth mentioning that the Fox polls tilted pretty far to the left in key 2018 Senate races.

Ohio, really? The biggest eye-popper is Ohio. Fox wasn’t alone in showing Mr. Biden ahead. Quinnipiac had him up by a point. Even if you assume these pollsters tend to produce results that tilt to the left, they still support the idea of a highly competitive race.

It’s been a bit hard to know what to expect from Ohio. There haven’t been many high-quality polls there in 2020, and the polls severely underestimated Republicans in 2016 and 2018. The state is traditionally highly competitive, but it swung so hard to Mr. Trump in 2016 that few would have put it toward center of the electoral map.

If you’ve been following along here, you’ll have noticed that many of the states with the biggest shifts toward Mr. Biden have been relatively white states in the North or Upper Midwest, like Maine, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Ohio isn’t exactly like those states, but the northwestern part of the state is somewhat similar to the rest of the Farm Belt, and the Trump campaign has aired plenty of advertisements in the state. Taken together, it seems we should consider pretty seriously that it’s a close race there at this point.

State of the race at the end of the day: Still solid for Biden, and if the Ohio polls are any indication, a little better for him than it was yesterday.

Sept. 23, 2020, 8:01 p.m. ET

A stronger day for Trump in the tipping-point states.

The rest of the country stays strong for Biden.

Over the last few weeks, Joe Biden has often seemed to do well in the state polls but not necessarily in the national polls. Today, it’s the opposite, and that makes it a fine day to roll out a new chart of the difference between our poll average nationwide and in the so-called tipping-point state:

Measuring Trump’s Electoral College edge

What’s the tipping-point state? It’s the one that would get either candidate his 270th electoral vote if he won every other state that’s more favorable to him. In 2016, it was Wisconsin: If Hillary Clinton had won every state where she was stronger than Wisconsin (the states she carried, plus Pennsylvania and Michigan), then it all would have come down to Wisconsin, the tipping point.

Back in 2016, Donald J. Trump won Wisconsin by 0.8 percentage points, while he lost the national vote by 2.1 points. That three-point difference is a measurement of the president’s relative edge in the Electoral College, and that’s about what our poll averages say today.

As you can see, the president’s relative edge in the Electoral College appeared to grow a bit Wednesday because Mr. Biden did well in the national polls but somewhat poorly in the state polls.

A good day for Trump in state polling. If you’ve been reading along recently, you know that Mr. Biden has had a good run of polls in Michigan and Wisconsin. That’s enough for 258 electoral votes — just short of the 270 needed to win — if you also give him the states carried by Mrs. Clinton.

From there, he would need one more state: maybe Arizona (in conjunction with Nebraska’s Second District or Maine’s Second District) or Florida or Pennsylvania. And while that might seem easy enough, President Trump has stayed somewhat competitive in polls of those states. On Wednesday, he was particularly competitive in these states:

POLLSTER MARGIN DIFF. FROM ’16 RESULT
Ariz.
Change Research
Sept. 18-20, 262 L.V.
Biden +6

49-43
+10D
Ariz.
ABC News/The Washington Post
Sept. 15-20, 579 L.V.
Trump +1

48-49
+3D
Ariz.
Ipsos
Sept. 11-17, 565 L.V.
Biden +1

47-46
+5D
Fla.
St. Pete Polls
Sept. 21-22, 2,906 L.V.
Biden +3

50-47
+4D
Fla.
Change Research
Sept. 18-20, 702 L.V.
Biden +3

49-46
+4D
Fla.
ABC News/The Washington Post
Sept. 15-20, 613 L.V.
Trump +4

47-51
+3R
Fla.
Ipsos
Sept. 11-16, 586 L.V.
Even

47-47
+1D
Pa.
Baldwin Wallace University
Sept. 8-22, 1,012 L.V.
Biden +2

47-45
+3D
Pa.
Change Research
Sept. 18-20, 579 L.V.
Biden +4

49-45
+5D
Pa.
CPEC
Sept. 15-17, 820 L.V.
Biden +5

50-45
+6D

If you scan down the list, you won’t see too many polls suggesting that Mr. Biden is up by more than seven points (as he is nationwide) in Arizona, Florida or Pennsylvania. You’ll even see something we haven’t seen much of so far this year: the color red.

Trump’s best polls of the cycle? ABC/Washington Post found the president leading in Arizona and Florida. When you factor in the firm, the polls are arguably his best of the whole cycle.

The ABC/Post poll is a high-quality survey. It’s so good that it has tended to beat the average of all other polls in a race. But it can also be a somewhat noisy poll, especially at small sample sizes like these, since it doesn’t have many ways to control the composition of the sample, like weight on party registration. (You may recall an eyepopper in the other direction from the ABC/Post poll last week, showing Mr. Biden with a 16-point lead in Minnesota. Same idea.)

Outlying results are a common — and expected — part of polling, even from the best pollsters. That’s part of why the average of all polls is helpful. The average shows Mr. Biden with a slight or modest advantage in both Arizona and Florida, and he has similar edges there in the other polls published today.

But there’s no way to confuse these polls with the kind of results we’ve seen nationwide or in Wisconsin. And until that’s true, the president’s path to re-election will be a bit easier than the national polls suggest.

A good day for Biden everywhere else. Well, everything else looked pretty good for Mr. Biden.

State polls
POLLSTER MARGIN DIFF. FROM ’16 RESULT
Ga.
Monmouth University
Sept. 17-21, 402 L.V.
Trump +3

46-49
+2D
Mich.
Baldwin Wallace University
Sept. 8-22, 1,001 L.V.
Biden +8

50-42
+8D
Mich.
Change Research
Sept. 18-20, 568 L.V.
Biden +8

51-43
+8D
N.C.
Change Research
Sept. 18-20, 579 L.V.
Biden +2

48-46
+6D
N.C.
Harper Polling
Sept. 17-20, 612 L.V.
Trump +1

44-45
+3D
Ohio
Baldwin Wallace University
Sept. 8-22, 1,011 L.V.
Biden +1

45-44
+9D
Wis.
Baldwin Wallace University
Sept. 8-22, 863 L.V.
Biden +9

50-41
+10D
National polls
U.S.
YouGov
Sept. 20-22, 1,124 L.V.
Biden +7

49-42
+5D
U.S.
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
Sept. 16-22, 3,000 L.V.
Biden +1

48-47
+1R
U.S.
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
Sept. 9-22, 5,440 L.V.
Biden +10

52-42
+8D
U.S.
Quinnipiac University
Sept. 17-21, 1,302 L.V.
Biden +10

52-42
+8D
U.S.
Qriously
Sept. 17-20, 2,134 L.V.
Biden +7

46-39
+5D
U.S.
Marquette University Law School
Sept. 8-15, 1,357 L.V.
Biden +10

50-40
+8D

Almost all the national polls showed him ahead by at least seven points. A Monmouth poll showed the president with a modest lead in Georgia, which counts as a pretty good result for Mr. Trump at this point. We’ll get another reading on the race there — as well as in Iowa and Texas — from our Times/Siena College polls tomorrow.

State of the race at the end of the day Today was not a good day for Mr. Biden by the measure that matters most: whether he has a clear and comfortable lead in states worth 270 electoral votes. Even so, he still leads in our average of Florida, Arizona and Pennsylvania — and therefore in the race for the White House.

Sept. 22, 2020, 7:27 p.m. ET

Polls show Biden highly competitive in red states.

A landslide and a close race are both easy to imagine.

State polls
POLLSTER MARGIN DIFF. FROM ’16 RESULT
Ga.
University of Georgia
Sept. 11-20, 1,150 L.V.
Even

47-47
+5D
Iowa
Selzer & Co.
Sept. 14-17, 658 L.V.
Even

47-47
+9D
Mich.
Marketing Resource Group (MRG)
Sept. 14-19, 600 L.V.
Biden +5

46-41
+5D
S.C.
Morning Consult
Sept. 11-20, 764 L.V.
Trump +6

44-50
+8D
National polls
U.S.
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
Sept. 8-21, 5,482 L.V.
Biden +10

52-42
+8D
U.S.
Léger
Sept. 18-20, 830 L.V.
Biden +7

48-41
+5D
U.S.
Morning Consult
Sept. 18-20, 12,965 L.V.
Biden +7

51-44
+5D

We often focus on the battleground states that decided the last election and seem likeliest to decide the next one. Today, we got polls from two states that Donald J. Trump won handily in 2016, and they’re an important reminder of the wide range of possibilities in this election.

An even race in Iowa and Georgia. We haven’t had much high-quality polling in either Iowa or Georgia recently, but we got one for each state Tuesday: from Ann Selzer in Iowa and from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution in Georgia (conducted by the University of Georgia). They found the same result: a tie.

The Des Moines Register poll of Iowa, conducted by Ms. Selzer, is always highly anticipated: She is one of the most respected pollsters in the country. This time, it comes as the Biden campaign begins airing advertisements in the state. It’s not hard to see why.

What the results don’t have in common. These polls share something important: They show tied races in states that Mr. Trump won fairly comfortably in 2016 (by nine in Iowa and by five in Georgia). But what’s behind these shifts is quite different.

In Iowa, Joe Biden seems to be securing large, broad gains among white voters. He’s benefiting from a similar shift across the Northern and mostly white battleground states — think Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan and Maine.

In Georgia, there’s a shift among college-educated white voters, particularly in the well-educated suburbs of Atlanta. But the state’s white working-class population remains staunchly Republican. Unlike in Iowa, demographic changes are also on Mr. Biden’s side. Georgia is growing fast, and it’s increasingly diverse.

Landslide? Georgia and Iowa might be competitive, but for Mr. Biden victories there would probably merely be icing on the cake: If he has won them, he’s almost certainly already won other battleground states like Florida and Pennsylvania, on track to a total nearing 400 electoral votes.

That’s a genuine possibility. We’re all understandably focused on the states likeliest to decide the election, like Pennsylvania and Florida. Those states remain close enough that Mr. Trump remains competitive. But states like Texas, Georgia, Ohio and Iowa also remain very competitive. In fact, they’re even closer than Florida or Pennsylvania — so close that a Biden landslide is just as real a possibility as a Trump victory.

Here’s a different way to think about it: If Mr. Biden outperformed today’s polls by just two points, he would be declared the winner early on election night. Florida would be called by around 8 p.m., and Texas could be the state that makes Mr. Biden the president-elect. (Yes, Texas). He’d have a good shot at the largest electoral vote landslide since 1988.

But if Mr. Trump outperformed the polls by the same margin, suddenly we’d have an extraordinarily close race on our hands, potentially waiting days or weeks while mail-in votes were counted in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

How is it possible for the race to teeter on the edge between a landslide and a close contest? A lot of it depends on the president’s apparent resilience in Pennsylvania and Florida. There aren’t a ton of polls in these states, so it’s possible that Mr. Biden has a wider lead than we think. But Mr. Biden holds just under a five-point lead in Pennsylvania and a two-point lead in Florida, according to our averages, even as he fights to a draw in places where Democrats haven’t won in decades.

If Mr. Biden has gained as much in Pennsylvania and Florida as it seems he has in Iowa and Texas, this would be a different story.

Not much new nationally. We did see a pair of national polls with Mr. Biden up by seven points, more or less consistent with our average.

State of the race at the end of the day: Mr. Biden’s leading in major battlegrounds, and even in a few states that Mr. Trump won handily four years ago. A landslide is still possible. But until Mr. Biden claims a more consistent and wider lead in a state like Pennsylvania — more like his seven-point lead nationwide — Mr. Trump will remain more competitive than you might guess from the steady stream of poll results hinting at a possible blowout.

Sept. 21, 2020, 11:21 p.m. ET

The race is more stable than we thought.

A poll that had seemed to show a shifting race really didn’t show much change at all.

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Donald Trump says India doesn’t fully disclose Covid-19 death toll Trump was responding to debate moderator Chris Wallace’s question on why the American people should trust him more than his opponent Joe Biden to deal with the public health crisis caused by Covid-19.

 

 

https://indianexpress.com/article/world/donald-trump-coronavirus-death-toll-india-china-russia-presidential-debate-joe-biden-6642441/

PEOPLES ARENT BUYING TRUMPS FAVORITE BRANDING ” SLEEPY JOE ” R SLOW JOE AND NW TRUMP SHULD SHUT UP

Donald Trump in attack mode, but fails to dent Joe Biden | Opinion

Trump, who dominated the debate in the worst possible way, declined to disavow white supremacists who have been the main source of bloodshed at the anti-racist protests and riots still taking place across the US.

OPINION Updated: Sep 30, 2020 15:10 IST

Pramit Pal Chaudhuri
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri

President Donald Trump argues with debate moderator Chris Wallace of Fox News Channel during the first 2020 presidential campaign debate with Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden held on the campus of the Cleveland Clinic at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland, Ohio.President Donald Trump argues with debate moderator Chris Wallace of Fox News Channel during the first 2020 presidential campaign debate with Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden held on the campus of the Cleveland Clinic at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland, Ohio. (REUTERS)

     

United States (US) President Donald Trump had a choice when he went into this election’s televised presidential debate: Woo the undecideds or woo his base. He decided to do the latter, resulting in the most acrimonious and bad-tempered such debate in US history. The initial run of instant polling, focus groups and commentary give Democratic candidate Joe Biden a slight edge among watchers. But the 30 to 40% who said they felt Trump was the winner indicate his followers liked his tough guy act.

Trump deliberately sought to throw off the Democratic Party hopeful with constant interruptions, attacks on his family members and a stream of non-facts about his opponent’s record. The Republicans have sought to portray Biden as too forgetful and doddering to be serve in the White House. Biden is 77, Trump just three years younger. On this point Trump failed. Biden rolled with the punches. A number of undecided voters in focus groups said they didn’t buy Trump’s talk of “Sleepy Joe” any more. Biden’s campaign netted $3.8 million during the debate, a record one-hour haul for him.

Trump’s second line of attack was to paint Biden socialist red. He has long claimed the Democratic Party’s support for full healthcare, green energy and welfare would herald the beginning of “socialism” in the US. Biden was not vigorous in his defence, perhaps because he fears alienating the leftwing of his party – which backs many of these policies. Or because he does plan to introduce watered-down versions if he makes it to the White House. The result was Biden failed to outline a vision, leaving the impression of a nice guy whose strongest point is that he is not Trump.

Trump, who dominated the debate in the worst possible way, declined to disavow white supremacists who have been the main source of bloodshed at the anti-racist protests and riots still taking place across the US. The race card remained in play with code phrases like “law and order” and claims that Biden was disliked by the police. Climate change was played down and declared to have no role in the record wildfires burning across the Pacific coast.

Trump doubled-down on what worries the US commentariat the most: That he will use batteries of lawyers to contest a Biden victory. He insinuated mail-order ballots, which are likely to be skewed towards Democrats, were suspect and airily said “it could be months” before it is clear who would win. “If I see tens of thousands of ballots being manipulated, I’m not going to accept it.” Biden sidestepped attacking the conservative Christian supreme court nominee Trump has chosen, knowing she may cast the deciding vote if the contest has to be decided by the judiciary. Burying his rivals with legal cases was a standard operating procedure for Trump the real estate man. Which is why the Democrats are already lining up hundreds of lawyers in expectation.

The President’s nemesis in this election is less Biden than the Covid-19 virus. The pandemic wrecked a roaring US economy. The memory of that growth is strong enough that US voters still say they have more faith in Trump than Biden when it comes to the economy. The virus also sharply revealed the depths of the Trump’s administration’s dysfunctionality. Suburban women, “soccer moms” and similar social groups, are a large chunk of the vote and the most concerned about family and community safety. They voted for Barack Obama, but dumped Hillary Clinton in favour of Trump. They have been tracking consistently for Biden largely because they are appalled by the President’s handling of Covid-19. In this debate, as in real life, Trump fumbled in his responses about the pandemic, noting he carried a mask, claiming a vaccine was around the corner and claiming India and Russia – two of the few countries he has had positive things to say about – lie about their Covid numbers.

US voters who wanted a genuine election debate about policies and vision will have to wait when the vice-presidents, seasoned politicians Mike Pence and Kamala Harris, meet on October 6. Biden continues to lead Trump by 3.5% in the battleground states, the number that matters. This debate won’t change that.

https://www.hindustantimes.com/opinion/donald-trump-in-attack-mode-but-fails-to-dent-joe-biden/story-saQlJClOCbfryjPfl7z1sL.html

Google WHO WON THE DEBATE About 57,00,00,000 results (0.51 seconds) Top stories Post-debate CNN poll: Six in 10 say Biden won the debate CNN.com·52 mins ago First debate descends into chaos as Trump and Biden exchange attacks CBS News·10 mins ago View all Videos 12:26 Who won the 1st presidential debate? ABC News YouTube – 1 hour ago 1:59 CNN poll: Who won the first 2020 presidential debate? CNN.com – 1 hour ago 12:08 Video: Who won the 1st presidential debate? ABC News – 2 hours ago 9:02 Who won the first presidential debate of 2020? Los Angeles Times YouTube – 1 hour ago 0:31 CBS News Poll: Who won the debate Facebook – 2 hours ago 2:03 Trump vs Biden: Who will win the first debate? The Sun YouTube – 14 hours ago PREVIEW 2:27 The secret to winning the first Trump-Biden debate CNN.com – 6 days ago PREVIEW 6:25 Analysis: Who won the US Democratic debate? Al Jazeera English YouTube – Nov 21, 2019 PREVIEW 3:30 Who won the debate? Martin breaks down the performances CTV News YouTube – Oct 3, 2019 21:27 Who won the Conservative leadership debate? | At Issue CBC News: The National YouTube – Jun 19, 2020 View all Who won the presidential debate? | The Independentwww.independent.co.uk › … › Americas › US election 1 hour ago – Donald Trump and Joe Biden have gone head-to-head in Cleveland, Ohio in the first of three televised debates ahead of the most contentious … Poll: Who won the first presidential debate (9/29/20)? How did …www.nj.com › politics › 2020/09 › poll-who-won-the-f… 1 hour ago – Vote in the informal, unscientific poll below. Who won Tuesday’s debate between President Donald Trump and Joe … Who won the first Trump-Biden presidential debate? – BBC …www.bbc.com › news › election-us-2020-54345192 4 hours ago – In a debate that was the political equivalent of a food fight, the winner was the man who emerged least covered in slop. On Tuesday night, that … Who won the presidential debate? 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The first polls say Biden – Voxwww.vox.com › who-won-debate-trump-biden-polls 2 hours ago – Overall, 48 percent said Biden won the debate, while 41 percent said Trump won, and 10 percent said it was a tie. As CBS elections and survey … Presidential debate live: Trump tries to steamroll Biden in …www.theguardian.com › us-news › live › sep › presidenti… 8 mins ago – So Trump needed to win over undecided voters and potentially even pick off some of Biden’s supporters with his performance tonight, and it’s very … US presidential debate: who won, was it any good, were there …www.irishtimes.com › news › world › us-presidential-d… 2 hours ago – US presidential debate: who won, was it any good, were there any surprises? Five Irish Times journalists and commentators give their verdicts … Let us know: Who won Tuesday’s presidential debate …www.boston.com › news › politics › 2020/09/29 › who… 3 hours ago – Let us know: Who won Tuesday’s presidential debate? 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Moderator Chris Wallace struggled to get a word in … 2016 United States presidential debates – Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org › wiki › 2016_United_States_presiden… A Morning Consult/Politico poll found that 43% of respondents considered Clinton the winner of the debate, with 26% saying Trump. An NBC/SurveyMonkey poll … Start date‎: ‎September 26, 2016 Who won the debate? Early polls say Joe Biden. – The Weektheweek.com › speedreads › who-won-debate-early-pol… 1 hour ago – Early polls show that Democratic nominee Joe Biden was the runaway winner of the first presidential debate, with CNN’s survey showing a full … Who won the Democratic debate in Las Vegas? – NBC Newswww.nbcnews.com › politics › 2020-election › who-w… Feb 19, 2020 – Who won the Democratic debate in Las Vegas? Analysis: Here’s who went scorched earth — and who may struggle to salvage their presidential … Who Won (and Lost) the Democratic Debate in South Carolinanymag.com › intelligencer › 2020/02 › who-won-the-de… Feb 26, 2020 – Here’s who won (and lost) the Democratic presidential primary debate in South Carolina Tuesday. Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders were among … Poll: Who won Tuesday night’s Democratic debate?www.bostonherald.com › 2020/02/26 › poll-who-won-… Feb 26, 2020 – The Democratic debate Tuesday night was messy, but there were some highlights. Who do you think won the debate? 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BIDEN TRUMP DEBATE

 

https://www.google.com/search?q=WH+WN+THE+DEBATE&oq=WH+WN+THE+DEBATE&aqs=chrome..69i57j69i60l2.13543j0j4&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8

Trump mayhem takes over first debate The president interrupted and bullied. Biden called the president a “clown.” Chris Wallace, the moderator, despaired. President Trump President Donald Trump walks to Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House on Tuesday. Trump will square off with Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden in their first debate in Cleveland. | Drew Angerer/Getty Images By DAVID SIDERS 09/29/2020 06:44 PM EDT Updated: 09/29/2020 11:15 PM EDT Facebook Twitter Link More The mayhem Donald Trump subjected Americans to on Tuesday might have helped him if Joe Biden had disintegrated. Biden didn’t. Trump — and viewers everywhere — just left the night worse off for having sat through the whole, weird thing. The president interrupted and bullied. Biden called the president a “clown.” Chris Wallace, the moderator, despaired. “The country would be better served,” the veteran journalist said to Trump, “if we allow both people to speak with fewer interruptions.” The result was a circus that will be viewed as one of the strangest confrontations in modern presidential history. At one point, when Wallace asked Trump, as he did repeatedly, to let Biden finish one of his answers, Biden responded, “He doesn’t know how to do that.” The debate was unwatchable, in some ways a fitting conclusion to a day that began with Republicans peddling conspiracy theories about Biden wearing an earpiece. He wasn’t, Biden’s campaign says. Nor was there any evidence, despite Trump’s suggestions, that Biden was on drugs. What is clear – just as much after the debate as before it— is that Biden is ahead in this race and Trump will leave the debate still desperate for something to pull him down. He is running out of time, with early voting already underway in some states and few voters still undecided. Here are the the takeaways: Biden stood his ground Trump’s nonstop interruptions might have worked had the bulldozing made Biden look small. It didn’t. Instead, it served to align Biden with Wallace — and through the moderator, viewers at home. Trump labored to talk over them both. The effect of the chaos was that Biden could do little affirmatively to make his case for president. But as the frontrunner, the onus was not on him to. Instead, he stood in for the onslaught, at times laughing Trump off, at others belittling him. “You’re the worst president America has ever had,” Biden said. “Come on.” Trump had to know that Biden would be more difficult to flatten than he’d once anticipated. For months, Trump had portrayed Biden as confused and mentally “out of it,” and everyone could see right through the course correction when it came. Biden was an “uneven” debater, Trump said Sunday — sometimes “okay,” but probably because he used performance enhancing drugs. Before the debate, insinuating the presence of an earpiece (a claim Biden’s campaign denied), Trump’s advisers asked for a pre-debate inspection of Biden’s ears. It was too late. Trump pushed expectations for Biden so low that his supporters turned on their televisions expecting to see Biden — teleprompter-less — collapse in a puddle of his own drool. Since he didn’t, they were in for a deflating night. The kernel of truth in Trump’s assessment of Biden is that he has, in fact, been an uneven debater. Viewers of the Democratic primary debates will remember him telling parents to keep “the record player on” at night, promising to “keep punching” at domestic violence and imploring an audience to “go to ‘Joe 30330,’” as if they could text a website. Biden wasn’t eloquent on Tuesday. But he didn’t need to be. Americans have already grimaced through reels of Joe Biden gaffes — and they don’t seem to care. He didn’t need a standout performance, only a stable one. And because of Trump’s wildly undisciplined exercise in expectation setting – and bizarre commitment to interruption – Biden only needed to come off as sane. A fraud ‘like you’ve never seen’ Perhaps the most revealing discussion on Tuesday did not pertain to the vote — but to what happens after. If Tuesday was any indication, it is going to be war. For more than four years, Trump has made repeated, baseless claims about widespread voter fraud, and he has refused to commit to a peaceful transition of power if he loses. Last week, he said he expects the contest to “end up in the Supreme Court,” as if that were normal (it isn’t; Bush v. Gore was an aberration). But if anyone was still watching on Tuesday, Trump aired his grievances for a national audience once more. He said he is “counting on” the Supreme Court to “look at the ballots,” with a mail-in voting system he said is a “disaster.” “This is going to be a fraud like you’ve never seen,” Trump said. Biden said Trump is “trying to scare people” and is “just afraid” of counting the vote. The effect of Trump’s rhetoric may reverberate far beyond the election. Americans have already lost a significant amount of faith in the electoral system. According to a recent Yahoo News/YouGov poll, just 22 percent of Americans expect the presidential election to be “free and fair.” This has immediate practical implications for November, with some evidence that lower trust in an electoral system results in decreased turnout. But it also suggests that the electorate is primed for a post-election scramble over the results. Tuesday’s debate was a preview of not just of what the closing days of the campaign will offer, but also its immediate aftermath. Other things we were watching for: ‘Sleepy Joe’ or PED Biden? Trump spent so long portraying Biden as confused and mentally “out of it” that everyone could see right through the course correction when it came. Biden was an “uneven” debater, Trump said Sunday — sometimes “okay,” but probably because he used performance enhancing drugs. Today, insinuating the presence of an earpiece (a claim Biden’s campaign denied), Trump’s advisers asked for a pre-debate inspection of Biden’s ears. It was too late. Trump pushed expectations for Biden so low that his supporters will turn on their televisions expecting to see Biden — teleprompter-less — collapse in a puddle of his own drool. Since the odds are high that he won’t, they will be in for a deflating night. The kernel of truth in Trump’s assessment of Biden is that he has, in fact, been an uneven debater. Viewers of the Democratic primary debates will remember him telling parents to keep “the record player on” at night, promising to “keep punching” at domestic violence and imploring an audience to “go to ‘Joe 30330,’” as if they could text a website. He sometimes rambles, and he sometimes awkwardly cuts himself off. Joe Biden 2020 ELECTIONS Debate organizers reveal 6 topics for first Trump-Biden showdown BY ALEX ISENSTADT But Biden was sharper in his one-on-one debate with Sen. Bernie Sanders this spring — the more focused, two-person set-up appearing to stabilize him. Before that debate, Sanders’ advisers, like Trump’s, had also bet on Biden underperforming, only to see him rise to the occasion. Americans have already grimaced through reels of Joe Biden gaffes — and they don’t seem to care. The frontrunner, he doesn’t need a standout performance, only a stable one. And because of Trump’s wildly undisciplined exercise in expectation setting, Biden can come off looking like Hercules as long as he doesn’t expire on stage. Trump needs to smear Biden Trump didn’t win the presidency because people liked him. He won because voters in enough swing states loathed Hillary Clinton more. The difficulty for Trump, as it has been since the start of the campaign, is that Biden is far less polarizing than Clinton. Nothing that Trump has thrown at Biden has stuck — not China, not Biden’s mental acuity, not Hunter Biden’s ties to Ukraine. Tonight’s debate may represent Trump’s last best chance to drag Biden through the mud — anything to pull his favorability down. How low will Trump go? Like so much else in the nation’s discourse, Trump set the rhetorical bar for debates fairly low when, four years ago, he threatened to jail Clinton and called her the devil. Trump has already called Biden a “dummy” and a “loser,” and that was before he suggested Biden was on drugs. But Trump has to try something. His most effective smear may be the one closest to the truth — that Biden is a creature of Washington. That worked for Trump with Clinton. It’s inconvenient for Trump’s reprisal of the outsider argument that he is now the incumbent president. But it is not an impossible case to make. The line he has been road-testing is one about Biden’s “47 years,” contrasting his own tenure with the time he says Biden has spent “betraying” Americans. Expect variations of that argument tonight. Debate by proxy Biden’s a lot harder to tear down than other, less avuncular Democrats, so Trump has spent much of the campaign trying to yoke him to softer targets. It will be a minor miracle if Trump refrains from mentioning Clinton tonight, as he has at recent rallies. He is almost certain to invoke Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Biden, in Trump’s messaging, is a puppet of the progressive left. None of that has worked for Trump so far. But he will have a new opening tonight, during a discussion about the U.S. Supreme Court. Biden has refused to say if he opposes calls from within the Democratic Party to expand the court in response to Republicans filling a vacancy before the election, a change he has long opposed. Nor has Biden released a list of people he would consider appointing, as Trump has. Those are blank spaces, and Trump will eagerly fill them in. At a rally in Middleton, Penn., over the weekend, he telegraphed the approach: “Joe Biden has refused to provide his list because the names will be handpicked by socialists like Representatives Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, AOC,” Trump said. “If given power, the far-left will pack the Supreme Court with radicals.” Viewers may not buy that, of course. Biden is a centrist and an institutionalist who defeated more progressive Democrats in the primary. A more convincing foil might be the other person in the room, veteran moderator Chris Wallace. The media isn’t particularly popular, and Wallace is less likely than Biden to hit back. Referendum, or a look ahead? The election began as a referendum on Trump. And despite all of the disruption this year, including a global pandemic and widespread civil unrest, it has remained so. For Trump, the results have not been pretty. Earlier this month, deaths from the coronavirus topped 200,000. Schools and businesses are still closed. The economy is in tatters. The key tension in the debate will be whether Biden can keep the focus on Trump’s current governing record or whether Trump can pivot to a more favorable conversation about the future. In one debate segment, on the coronavirus, this will likely play out as straightforward push-and-pull between what Trump could have done this year to control the virus versus what he might still do. Expect Trump to claim, as he has before, that a vaccine is just over the horizon and that Biden, if elected, will “delay” it – something there is no evidence to support. In another segment, on civil unrest, Trump will be more in his element. His law-and-order campaign has largely fallen flat, in part because his dire warnings about “Biden’s America” all reference unrest occurring in a country where Trump, not Biden, is president. The imperative for Trump is to persuade Americans that life can get worse than it already is. Fear and anger are reliable motivators in elections, and Trump needs to lean into both if he’s going to turn his campaign around. One part of the past that Trump will almost certainly not be able to avoid is his taxes, after revelations in The New York Times that he paid just $750 in federal income taxes in 2016 and 2017.Trump’s refusal to release his tax returns in 2016 and continuing through the current election – was a major break with precedent, and Biden kept attention on the issue by releasing his own 2019 tax returns just before the debate. The returns showed Biden paid nearly $300,000 in federal income taxes in 2019, about 30 percent of his $985,000 in adjusted gross income. It’s all ‘rigged’ Perhaps the most revealing discussion tonight will not pertain to the vote — but to what happens after. For more than four years, Trump has made repeated, baseless claims about widespread voter fraud, and he has refused to commit to a peaceful transition of power if he loses. Last week, he said he expects the contest to “end up in the Supreme Court,” as if that were normal (it isn’t; Bush v. Gore was an aberration). None of this is news. But the moderator will be devoting 15 minutes in front of a viewership of millions to “election integrity,” and what is said may reverberate far more than anything else. Americans have already lost a significant amount of faith in the electoral system. According to a recent Yahoo News/YouGov poll, just 22 percent of Americans expect the presidential election to be “free and fair.” This has immediate practical implications for November, with some evidence that lower trust in an electoral system results in decreased turnout. But it also suggests that the electorate is primed for a post-election scramble over the results. How Trump inflames the lack of confidence in voting — and how Biden responds – will offer a preview of not just of what the closing days of the campaign will offer, but also its immediate aftermath. MOST READ Hillary Clinton Intel chief releases Russian disinfo on Hillary Clinton that was rejected by bipartisan Senate panel Pelosi eyes last-ditch shot at stimulus deal with Mnuchin Watch Live: The first 2020 Presidential Debate Flynn lawyer spoke with Trump, she reveals in contentious hearing Poll: Presidential, Senate contests are tight in Georgia FILED UNDER: JOE BIDEN, POLITICO Facebook Twitter Link More MOST READ Hillary Clinton NATIONAL SECURITY Intel chief releases Russian disinfo on Hillary Clinton that was rejected by bipartisan Senate panel BY ANDREW DESIDERIO AND DANIEL LIPPMAN Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi at a news conference CONGRESS Pelosi eyes last-ditch shot at stimulus deal with Mnuchin BY HEATHER CAYGLE, MELANIE ZANONA AND SARAH FERRIS Workers prepare the stage for the first debate between U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden at Case Western Reserve University on Monday. 2020 DEBATES Watch Live: The first 2020 Presidential Debate BY POLITICO STAFF

REPOST F THE DEBATE WITH THE DON – ISNT HIS HOWIT WENT ? WAS WE WRONG MISTER BIDEN ? THE LNK AND DATE IS HERE – http://yoninetanyahu.com/2020/09/28/to-mister-biden-from-us-not-saying-to-imply-i-tld-u-so-merely-reminding-that-that-u-listen-to-those-wh-were-right-abyt-what-will-hapen-s-a-me-is-said-that-since-primaries-that-agar/

http://yoninetanyahu.com/2020/09/28/to-mister-biden-from-us-not-saying-to-imply-i-tld-u-so-merely-reminding-that-that-u-listen-to-those-wh-were-right-abyt-what-will-hapen-s-a-me-is-said-that-since-primaries-that-agar/

BUBBA -> HEY JOE – WE WILL TELL U, – AS UR CNTIBUTIOJN – NT A BRAGGING RIGHTS – { BRAGGINGS RIGHTS ARE – FOR – THSOE WHO  WILL EVER GET RECGNIZED } WHCIH MEANS KHANS, BEYONCE. KARIM ABDUL JABBAR,  LE BRON JAMES, KATRINA KAIF – ETC ETC – }

SO MY MAIN MAN JOE  SINCE U ALLOTED – LESS TIME FOR THE BIG DOG AND HIS WIFE – HERE IS  OUR ADVSIE WHICH U CAN KEEP OR IGNORE

  HEY JOE  WE WILL TELL U – 2 THINGS – THAT – IN OUR OPINION – MATETR

[A] STYLE

AND

[B] SUBSTANCE

NOW, ON [A] IE ON STYLE

U NEED

[1] SHORT

[2] SIMPLE

[3] SENTENCES.

TAHTS ALL .  FR EXAMPLE ? – WELL FR EXAMPLE  AND WE WILL GIVE 6 EXAMPLES

[1] DONALD  YOU ARE LYING.WE ALL KNOW THAT BY NOW. DONALD,  YOU KNEW ABUT CORONA .DONLAD YOUR PREVARICATION MEANS – MRE THAN 200,000 DEAD AND MORE THAN 16 MILLION UNEMPLOYED.

[2] DONALD, SHUT THE FUCK UP. 36.5 MILLION ARE UNEMPLOYED. DONALD, U – WERE – FUNNY – BUT U ARE NO LONGER FUNNY DONALD, 200, 000 PLUS HAVE DIED DONALD, ITS NOT FUNNY DONALD. IN 2016 U WERE CONSIDERED FUNNY- WE HAD ENOUGH OF FUN DONALD. ITS TIME FOR SERIOUSNESS -/ THIS MEANS NOW ITS UR TIME DONALD.

[3] DONALD, I KNOW U DONT LISTEN TOANYNE BUT IVANKA, BUT IT SEEMS YOU ARE HAVING AHARD TIME LISTENING – AGAIN -ONCE AGAIN DONALD, YOUR NUMBERS – ARE –  FIRST – 200, THUSAND PLUS DEAD – DNALD THIS MEANS ALMOST A QUARTER A MILLION FUNERALS. AND THE SECND NUMEBR S 36.5 MILLIN UNEMPLOYED. – DNALD THAT MEANS – MORE THAN 30 % AMERICAN FAMILIES .

[4] DONALD. 30 MINUETS AGO, I TOLD YOU THAT NOT ONLY ARE U AN OBSESSIVE COMPULSIVE LIAR, BUT ALSO, YOU NEED TO SEE  DOCTOR AND GET YOUR EAR EXAMINED. LET ME REPEAT DONALD –  -U ARE NT SLEEPING LATE AT NIGHTS- WHATS BETWEEN U AND MELANIA ? – WHY AREU ON TWITETR AND NOT WITH MELANIA ? – WHATS GOING N DONALD ?  DONALD, K MAYBE U NEED TO VISIT A MARRIAGE CNUNCELLER DONALD. ITS OK – WE WILL UNDERSTAND.

[5] DONALD, THIS IS THE 16TH TIME I AM HEARING THAT I AM A SOCIALIST. DONALD, LET ME REMIND YOU  DEFEATED THE BERNIE – BY BEING AGAISNT HIS  DESIRE T CONVERT USA TO SCANDIVNVIA . DONALD, DO U WEAR HEARING AIDS ? RR DO U NEED THEM ? I CAN WAIT – HEY -FOLKS, DOES ANYNE IN THE AUDIENCE HAS HEARING AIDS ?

[6] DONALD ONCE AGAIN, YOUR NUMBERS ARE –

[A] DOW IS BACKUP BUT – 36.5 MILLION ARE UNEMPLOYED  AND THAT MATTERS – DONALD –

[B] ABOUT QUARTER A MILLION FUNERALS – BECAUSE U COULDN’T  HEAR ANYNE BUT IVANKA AND  MAYBE –  RUDY GULIANAI – ?

AND

[C] OK DONALD – I WILL SIGN THAT PETITION – WHEN I AM PRESIDENT – TO HAVE THE NOBLE PEACE PRIZE TEAM LOOK AT YOUR CASE – THAT EMBASSY MOVE – AND THOSE 2 DEALS – WITH DUBIA AND BAHRAIN – ME AND KAMALA WILL KEEP –

SO, THATS – UR 6 EXAMPLES OF STYLE

NOW ON SUBSTANCE

[1] DONALD, ARE U DONE BRAGGING – VIA LYING ?

[2] DONALD, WHY ARENT U SLEEPING WITH MELANIA – WHY ARE U AWAKE AT 3 AM AND IN LOVE WITH TWITTER ?

[3] DONALD, DO YOU HAVE AN EAR INFECTION? I ASK BECAUSE – WHAT PART IS HARD FOR U ? – 36 MILLION ARE OUT OF JOBS AND  QUARTER A MILLION FUNERAL HAVE ALREADY HAPPENED – WHATS HARD ABOUT THESE TWO NUMBERS – THAT U ARE HAVING TROUBLE DIGESTING?

[4] I ALREADY DENOUNCED THE RIOTERS AND LOOTERS – IN KENSOHA AND OREGON AND REST. NO – WHAT? WHAT DID U SAY DONALD ? – NO, I DIDNT HEAR IT ? WHAT -OK LISTEN DONALD, – MAYBE I WAS BEING PLITE – LIKE HW INMY CHRICH – IN THAT CATHLIC – CHRUCH WE HAVE A THING – WHICH IS BE PLITE AND SMILE – NOW, U LIKE MY SHINY TEETH DONALD ? – OK BUT THIS ISNT FUNNY – YET I WILL SMILE –  WELL, SMILE BECAUSE DONALD, U ARE A FUNNY GUY – DONALD, – WHAT I EMANT IS THAT IN VRIGINIA, U DIDNT CONDEMN BOTH SIDES, BEACSUE U FOUND FINE PEOPLE ON BTH SIDE

WELL DONALD, THE FACT IS – THAT –

[1] I CONDEMNED THE RIOTERS AND THE LOOTERS – THATS POINT 1

– SECOND

[2] I ASKED U TO CONDEMN  POLICE  MURDERING PEOPLE –  U DIDNT – I GUESS U FIND FINE PEOPLE – IN EVERY SIDE THAT SUITS YOUR DESIGNS. NO, THAT;S NOT WHAT U SAID DONALD, U SAID – THERE WILL BE AN INBESTIAGTION – YEAH FINE- SME F THE PEPLE – SHT BY CPS – HAD PENDING –  WARANTS = OK FINE, ONE WAS –  FR RAPE AND ASSAL=ULT F A GIRL  FINE – BUT – SINCE  WHEN – IN THE USA – THE POLICE -HAD BECME THE EXECUITIONER – THE JUDGE AND THE JURY IS MY POINT DONALD,

NO DONALD ONCE AGAIN, U ARE HAVIG PRRBLEMS WITH YOUR EAR – WHAT? U GOT WAX IN IT ? OK IF THATS NT THE CASE – THEN WHAT IS ?

LISTEN TO ME DONALD THE SUMMARY IS – BIDEN CONDEMNS MOB VIOLENCE – RIOTS AND ARSONY – AND DONALD FAILS R REFUSES TO CONDEMN MURDER IN COLD BLOOD – BECAUSE? – BECAUSE IT SUITS YOUR PLATFORM DONALD

N O- DONALD – OK DONALD, THIS IS PISSING ME OFF DONALD I DID NT SAY DEFUND THE POLICE -THE SOCIALISTS DID – ONCE AGAIN DONALD, I UNDERSTAND YOU WANT TO PAINT ME AS SMETHING I AM NT – BECAUSE THAT SUITS YOUR PLATFMR

OK DONALD THIS DEBATE IS OVER – I AM NOT SURPRISED, U HAVE AN EAR INFECTION  BUT – – K- I WILL TALK DIRECTLY T THE AUIENCE –

LISTEN MY  YELLW FELLW AMERICANS –

[A] THIS DEBATE IS A SCAM – THSI ISNTA  DEBATE . FOLKS

[B] WITH 36 MILLION – STILL – UNEMPLOYED, -WITH –  QUARTER A MILLION FUNERALS AND PYRES – WE HAVE A INTERSPERSE – WHO REFUSES T CALL HIM ANYTHING LIKE THAN ATILLA THE HUN -. SO FOLKS THERE ARE 2 MORE DEBATES, MAYBE WE SHULD SCARP THESE DEBATES AND HAVE TWN HALLS – WHAT I EMAN IS THAT U CANT DEBATE – WHEN – U ARE UN WILLING TO TALK IN NUMBERS AND AGAIN – THERE ARE  TWO NUBERS – [A] QUARTER A MILLION FUNREALS AND [2] 36 R L40 MILLION UNEXMPLOUEYED – IN TEHR WRS –

WE HAVE A PRESIDENT –  WHO DESITE HIS OBSESSIN WITH NUMBERS – HVE US NUMBERS THAT ARE WORSETHAN THAT F ANY PRESIDENT IN THE HISTORY OF USA –

 I MEAN FLKS – INTHE LAST FEW MNTHS AFTER – DISMISSING CHINESE CROAN VIRUS AS HOAX – WE HAVE HAD MORE FUNERALS – MRE COFFINS THAT THEY ARRVE FRM LIBYA, AFGHAN, R EVEN VIET FUCKING NAM FOLKS –

 

I MEAN MAYBE I AM OLD  FASHIOINED

– BUT  GROWING UP –

MY MOM,

MY DAD,

MY NEIGHBORS

AND

MY SCHOOL TEACHERS – EVEN SAID –

THAT  I DIDNT HAVE TO BE AT IVY LEAGUE LIKE  WHARTON OR  HARVARD OR YALE TO KNOW

THAT NUMBERS DONT LIE .

LIKE BONES DONT LIE –

NUMBERS DONT LIE

WE – KNOW IN OUR BONES FOLKS — { NOW THIS IS WHERE I WD SAY – WE KNOW IN UR BNES FLKS THAT DONALD IS GAY – HE LIKE RUDY GULIANI KIM JON UNG –  AND OTHERS – } – BUT I AM NOT U – S, U MAY INSERT SOME OTEHR LINE – LIKE

 

EQUATIN 1 – BONES DONT LIE

EQUATIN 2 – WE KNOW IN UR BONES THAT DNALD IS EQUAL TO LIES

EQUATIN 3 – DONALD IS NT INTO MELNI BUT —  – XYZ

:)

SOMETHING LIKE THAT I WUDL SAY KNOWING WHAT I KNW ABUT THE DONALD

AND HERE MISTER BIDEN IS TEH BEST NUMEBR

JOE BIDEN CV- ALINA CORNA VIRUS CV MESSAGE--- TO JE BIDEN AND HIS TEAM FROM AJAY MISHRA CV - AND THIS IS HIS CV DONALD TRUMP A WAR TIME PRESIDENT ISNT PREPARED TO FIGHT THE WAR AND IS RELUTANT TO JOI THE WAR WOW CV

SO THIS CONCLUDES –

THE

” DEBATE WITH THE DON” – ALSO -DONALD – YOUR TIME IS UP . NOW U CAN GO BACK TO TWITTER – THE ONLY THING WE KNOW IS AMUSING ABOUT U

 

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Sep 29, 2020, 11:48 PM (14 minutes ago) to me Someone just viewed: “Fwd: Someone just viewed: OLGA SHULMAN LEDNICHENKO GREECE SPAIN AND IRELAND TIGER MAN EQUAL TO ?” People on thread: Yoni Netanyahu Olga Blog Post By Email Device: iPhone Location: Quincy, WA

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11:48 PM (9 minutes ago) to me Someone just viewed: “Fwd: This is a long email, but what’s inside is important” People on thread: Yoni Netanyahu Olga Blog Post By Email Device: iPhone Location: Quincy, WA

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11:29 PM (12 minutes ago) to me Someone just viewed: “324368521 HTML H FOR HILALRY T FOR TIME M FOR MISHRA L FOR LEDNICHENKO : AND IN HEBREW U READ RIGHT TO LEFT LEDNIDHCNEKO MISHRA TIME HILLARY” People on thread: 208 Westhaven Drive 78746 Blog Post By Email Device: iPhone Location: Quincy, WA

[1]

324368521 HTML H FOR HILALRY T FOR TIME M FOR MISHRA L FOR LEDNICHENKO AND IN HEBREW U READ RIGHT TO LEFT LEDNIDHCNEKO MISHRA TIME HILLARy

[2]

324368521 HTML H FOR HILALRY T FOR TIME M FOR MISHRA L FOR LEDNICHENKO AND IN HEBREW U READ RIGHT TO LEFT LEDNIDHCNEKO MISHRA TIME HILLARy

[3]

324368521 HTML H FOR HILALRY T FOR TIME M FOR MISHRA L FOR LEDNICHENKO AND IN HEBREW U READ RIGHT TO LEFT LEDNIDHCNEKO MISHRA TIME HILLARyCLICK LINK BELOW

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11:15 PM (6 minutes ago) to me Someone just viewed: “FROM OLGA LEDNICHENKO TO MISTER AMITABH BACHCHAN SO WHY DOES AJAY HAS YOUR FILES ? AND SINCE IITANS AND JEWS MOTHERFUCKERS DONT GIVE EXAMPLES – HERE IS ONLEE MEANS ONLE ONE EXAMPLE – OK MISTER BAHCCHAN DID U IN 2005 2006 TIME FRAME PERSONALLY WLAK INTO THE OFFICE OF THE COMMISIONER OF POLICE AND SAID TO LOW RANKED POLICE OFFICER THAT QUOTE ” TUMARHRE SAHEB KA VAHEE NAAM HAI JOH HARAM NAAM HAI ” – ME MEANS OFFICE OF COMISONER OF POLCE IN MUMBAI SHIT – CALELD WHERE IIT BOBAY NOT IIT MUMBAI IS – ? OK NOW ALSO DID U NOTICE INDIAN ICON MISTER BACHCHAN THAT MADRAS BEACEM CHENNAI BUT IIT MADRADS IS NOT CALELD IIT CHENNANI ? ALSO BOMBAY BECAME MUMBAI BUT IIT BOBAY DID NOT BECOME IIT MUMBAI ? ME MEANS IN YOUR ORIGINAL HOEME STTE – KUMARI BEHANJI MAYAWATI JI NAMED KGMC MEANS KING GEORGE MEDICAL COLLEGE IN LCUKNOW AS – ? WAS CHATHPATI SAHUJI MAHARAJ AND ? – ME MEANS LUCKNOW INTERNATION CRICET STADIUM FWS FIRST BY YOUR EX BEST FRIEND – MULYAAM SNINGH YADAV AND WHO? AS EK ANANN STADIUM AND LATER – MODI AND YOGI CHANGED IT TO ATAL BEHARI STADIUM ? ME MEANS SCAR FACE BECOMES AGEEPATH 1 IN INDIANS AND APOLCAPSE NOW BECASOESM AGENEPATH WITH SANJAY AND ME – AND MY LOOK ALIKE IT SEEMS MISTER BACHCGA=HN EME MEANS TAJ MAHAL COULD BE CHANGED BUT U KNWO RAMANUJAM CONSTANT REMAINS THE SAME MISTER BCAHCHAN ? – ME MEANS ANOTEHR EXMAPLE IF PEN PAPER PENCIL PASSIVE BRAHMIN FILE AND AFRHAN AND CHITA SHKEEL AND SALMAN AND AISHWARYA AND TAPES AND SANJAY AND SHAKEEL DOENST WORK WITH U – JUST REMEMEBR THIS MISTER BAHCAN FOR YOUR OWN PERSONAL AND YOUR NATIONS GOOD MISTER BAHCHAN -> THIS -> SOME THINGS MONEY CAN BUY FOR EVERYTHING ELSE – LEARN WORD VODKA AND VOLGA ND OLGA AND IF THIS STILL DOENT WORK MSITER BAHCHAN THEN LEARN AND TATOO THIS WORD MISTER BAHCHAN THAT B FOR BRAHMIN B FOR BOLSHOI – B FOR BOMBAY B FOR BESLAN B FOR BAZZOOKA B FOR ? B FOR BACHCHAN – AJAY ADMIRES U BUT HE IS PISSED AT ALL MEANS ALL MEANS ALL OF U BOLLYWOOD MOTHERFUCKERS – SANJAY -> TANSLATE THIS – FOR ME – THANK U SANJAYA DN ALSO IN MAHABHARAT MISTER BAHCHAN THE BLIND SANJAY BARRATES THE MAHABHARAT TO WHO ? – MISTER BAHCHAN KATRINA AND SUNNY LEONE DONT KNOW HINDU OR HINDI OR UDU, BUT DO U KNOW WORD VCALLED BRAHIM AND HINDU ? – THANK U MISTER BAHCHANA ND SHABHAT SHALOM IN ADAVNCE DDID U SAY ? I DO BOLLYWOOD AND MUSLIM MAFIA IN ADAVNCE MISTER BAHCAN MENAING ARSLATION IN AGNEEPATH DIALOG DID U SAY – UNHON NE MEERI MAUT KA DIN KARAR KYA HAI ANDT A SCENE IN AGNEEPATH – WITH POLICE INSPECTOR MISTER BAHCHAN – OK – MSTER BAHCHAN U HAD BACKGROUND MUSIC AND BARITONE VOICE, I AM SPEECHLESS – WITHOUT REEDOM OF SPEECH, : HOW WAS MY SOUND OF SILENECE ITEM SONG MISTER BAHCHAN – THE INDIAN ICON – THANK U REGARDS OLGA THE RUSSHAIN ” People on thread: 208 Westhaven Drive 78746 Blog Post By Email Device: Unknown Device Location: Boydton, VA

: "FROM OLGA LEDNICHENKO TO MISTER AMITABH BACHCHAN SO WHY DOES AJAY HAS YOUR FILES ? AND SINCE IITANS AND JEWS MOTHERFUCKERS DONT GIVE EXAMPLES - HERE IS ONLEE MEANS ONLE ONE EXAMPLE - OK MISTER BAHCCHAN DID U IN 2005 2006 TIME FRAME PERSONALLY WLAK INTO THE OFFICE OF THE COMMISIONER OF POLICE AND SAID TO LOW RANKED POLICE OFFICER THAT QUOTE " TUMARHRE SAHEB KA VAHEE NAAM HAI JOH HARAM NAAM HAI " - ME MEANS OFFICE OF COMISONER OF POLCE IN MUMBAI SHIT - CALELD WHERE IIT BOBAY NOT IIT MUMBAI IS - ? OK NOW ALSO DID U NOTICE INDIAN ICON MISTER BACHCHAN THAT MADRAS BEACEM CHENNAI BUT IIT MADRADS IS NOT CALELD IIT CHENNANI ? ALSO BOMBAY BECAME MUMBAI BUT IIT BOBAY DID NOT BECOME IIT MUMBAI ? ME MEANS IN YOUR ORIGINAL HOEME STTE - KUMARI BEHANJI MAYAWATI JI NAMED KGMC MEANS KING GEORGE MEDICAL COLLEGE IN LCUKNOW AS - ? WAS CHATHPATI SAHUJI MAHARAJ AND ? - ME MEANS LUCKNOW INTERNATION CRICET STADIUM FWS FIRST BY YOUR EX BEST FRIEND - MULYAAM SNINGH YADAV AND WHO? AS EK ANANN STADIUM AND LATER - MODI AND YOGI CHANGED IT TO ATAL BEHARI STADIUM ? ME MEANS SCAR FACE BECOMES AGEEPATH 1 IN INDIANS AND APOLCAPSE NOW BECASOESM AGENEPATH WITH SANJAY AND ME - AND MY LOOK ALIKE IT SEEMS MISTER BACHCGA=HN EME MEANS TAJ MAHAL COULD BE CHANGED BUT U KNWO RAMANUJAM CONSTANT REMAINS THE SAME MISTER BCAHCHAN ? - ME MEANS ANOTEHR EXMAPLE IF PEN PAPER PENCIL PASSIVE BRAHMIN FILE AND AFRHAN AND CHITA SHKEEL AND SALMAN AND AISHWARYA AND TAPES AND SANJAY AND SHAKEEL DOENST WORK WITH U - JUST REMEMEBR THIS MISTER BAHCAN FOR YOUR OWN PERSONAL AND YOUR NATIONS GOOD MISTER BAHCHAN -> THIS -> SOME THINGS MONEY CAN BUY FOR EVERYTHING ELSE - LEARN WORD VODKA AND VOLGA ND OLGA AND IF THIS STILL DOENT WORK MSITER BAHCHAN THEN LEARN AND TATOO THIS WORD MISTER BAHCHAN THAT B FOR BRAHMIN B FOR BOLSHOI - B FOR BOMBAY B FOR BESLAN B FOR BAZZOOKA B FOR ? B FOR BACHCHAN - AJAY ADMIRES U BUT HE IS PISSED AT ALL MEANS ALL MEANS ALL OF U BOLLYWOOD MOTHERFUCKERS - SANJAY -> TANSLATE THIS - FOR ME - THANK U SANJAYA DN ALSO IN MAHABHARAT MISTER BAHCHAN THE BLIND SANJAY BARRATES THE MAHABHARAT TO WHO ? - MISTER BAHCHAN KATRINA AND SUNNY LEONE DONT KNOW HINDU OR HINDI OR UDU, BUT DO U KNOW WORD VCALLED BRAHIM AND HINDU ? - THANK U MISTER BAHCHANA ND SHABHAT SHALOM IN ADAVNCE DDID U SAY ? I DO BOLLYWOOD AND MUSLIM MAFIA IN ADAVNCE MISTER BAHCAN MENAING ARSLATION IN AGNEEPATH DIALOG DID U SAY - UNHON NE MEERI MAUT KA DIN KARAR KYA HAI ANDT A SCENE IN AGNEEPATH - WITH POLICE INSPECTOR MISTER BAHCHAN - OK - MSTER BAHCHAN U HAD BACKGROUND MUSIC AND BARITONE VOICE, I AM SPEECHLESS - WITHOUT REEDOM OF SPEECH, : HOW WAS MY SOUND OF SILENECE ITEM SONG MISTER BAHCHAN - THE INDIAN ICON - THANK U REGARDS OLGA THE RUSSHAIN "

: "FROM OLGA LEDNICHENKO TO MISTER AMITABH BACHCHAN SO WHY DOES AJAY HAS YOUR FILES ? AND SINCE IITANS AND JEWS MOTHERFUCKERS DONT GIVE EXAMPLES - HERE IS ONLEE MEANS ONLE ONE EXAMPLE - OK MISTER BAHCCHAN DID U IN 2005 2006 TIME FRAME PERSONALLY WLAK INTO THE OFFICE OF THE COMMISIONER OF POLICE AND SAID TO LOW RANKED POLICE OFFICER THAT QUOTE " TUMARHRE SAHEB KA VAHEE NAAM HAI JOH HARAM NAAM HAI " - ME MEANS OFFICE OF COMISONER OF POLCE IN MUMBAI SHIT - CALELD WHERE IIT BOBAY NOT IIT MUMBAI IS - ? OK NOW ALSO DID U NOTICE INDIAN ICON MISTER BACHCHAN THAT MADRAS BEACEM CHENNAI BUT IIT MADRADS IS NOT CALELD IIT CHENNANI ? ALSO BOMBAY BECAME MUMBAI BUT IIT BOBAY DID NOT BECOME IIT MUMBAI ? ME MEANS IN YOUR ORIGINAL HOEME STTE - KUMARI BEHANJI MAYAWATI JI NAMED KGMC MEANS KING GEORGE MEDICAL COLLEGE IN LCUKNOW AS - ? WAS CHATHPATI SAHUJI MAHARAJ AND ? - ME MEANS LUCKNOW INTERNATION CRICET STADIUM FWS FIRST BY YOUR EX BEST FRIEND - MULYAAM SNINGH YADAV AND WHO? AS EK ANANN STADIUM AND LATER - MODI AND YOGI CHANGED IT TO ATAL BEHARI STADIUM ? ME MEANS SCAR FACE BECOMES AGEEPATH 1 IN INDIANS AND APOLCAPSE NOW BECASOESM AGENEPATH WITH SANJAY AND ME - AND MY LOOK ALIKE IT SEEMS MISTER BACHCGA=HN EME MEANS TAJ MAHAL COULD BE CHANGED BUT U KNWO RAMANUJAM CONSTANT REMAINS THE SAME MISTER BCAHCHAN ? - ME MEANS ANOTEHR EXMAPLE IF PEN PAPER PENCIL PASSIVE BRAHMIN FILE AND AFRHAN AND CHITA SHKEEL AND SALMAN AND AISHWARYA AND TAPES AND SANJAY AND SHAKEEL DOENST WORK WITH U - JUST REMEMEBR THIS MISTER BAHCAN FOR YOUR OWN PERSONAL AND YOUR NATIONS GOOD MISTER BAHCHAN -> THIS -> SOME THINGS MONEY CAN BUY FOR EVERYTHING ELSE - LEARN WORD VODKA AND VOLGA ND OLGA AND IF THIS STILL DOENT WORK MSITER BAHCHAN THEN LEARN AND TATOO THIS WORD MISTER BAHCHAN THAT B FOR BRAHMIN B FOR BOLSHOI - B FOR BOMBAY B FOR BESLAN B FOR BAZZOOKA B FOR ? B FOR BACHCHAN - AJAY ADMIRES U BUT HE IS PISSED AT ALL MEANS ALL MEANS ALL OF U BOLLYWOOD MOTHERFUCKERS - SANJAY -> TANSLATE THIS - FOR ME - THANK U SANJAYA DN ALSO IN MAHABHARAT MISTER BAHCHAN THE BLIND SANJAY BARRATES THE MAHABHARAT TO WHO ? - MISTER BAHCHAN KATRINA AND SUNNY LEONE DONT KNOW HINDU OR HINDI OR UDU, BUT DO U KNOW WORD VCALLED BRAHIM AND HINDU ? - THANK U MISTER BAHCHANA ND SHABHAT SHALOM IN ADAVNCE DDID U SAY ? I DO BOLLYWOOD AND MUSLIM MAFIA IN ADAVNCE MISTER BAHCAN MENAING ARSLATION IN AGNEEPATH DIALOG DID U SAY - UNHON NE MEERI MAUT KA DIN KARAR KYA HAI ANDT A SCENE IN AGNEEPATH - WITH POLICE INSPECTOR MISTER BAHCHAN - OK - MSTER BAHCHAN U HAD BACKGROUND MUSIC AND BARITONE VOICE, I AM SPEECHLESS - WITHOUT REEDOM OF SPEECH, : HOW WAS MY SOUND OF SILENECE ITEM SONG MISTER BAHCHAN - THE INDIAN ICON - THANK U REGARDS OLGA THE RUSSHAIN "

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HELLO LITHUANIA : 9:49 PM (1 hour ago) to me Someone just viewed: “TO STEVEN SPIELBERG FROM OLGA SHULMAN LEDNICHENKO HAPPY DIWALI AND I LOVE YOUR KITCEHN LOOK AS WELL” People on thread: Yoni Netanyahu Olga Blog Post By Email Device: PC Location: Kaunas, KU

TO STEVEN SPIELBERG FROM OLGA SHULMAN LEDNICHENKO HAPPY DIWALI AND I LOVE YOUR KITCEHN LOOK AS WELL

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Streak 1:53 PM (9 hours ago) to me Someone just viewed: “Fwd: Someone just viewed: FROM OLGA SHULMAN LEDNICHENKO TO BARACK OBAMA AND STEVEN SPIELBERG S FOR ?” People on thread: Yoni Netanyahu Olga Blog Post By Email Device: Unknown Device Location: Quincy, WA

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10:25 PM (7 minutes ago) to me Someone just viewed: “Fwd: Someone just viewed: Yom Kippur deals with something deeper than the casting of blame; it deals with the question of responsibility. On Yom Kippur, each of us conducts his/her own trial before God. This process is designed to be, an intensive and sincere internal investigation. With faith, humility, and hope, we submit to God our own findings about the extent of our responsibility. There is clearly a fundamental and substantive difference between the liberal Israeli legal system, which deals with guilt and innocence, and traditional Jewish law, which deals with responsibility that is not a function of guilt.” People on thread: Yoni Netanyahu Olga Blog Post By Email Device: PC Location: Chicago, IL

"Yom Kippur deals with something deeper than the casting of blame; it deals with the question of responsibility. On Yom Kippur, each of us conducts his/her own trial before God. This process is designed to be, an intensive and sincere internal investigation. With faith, humility, and hope, we submit to God our own findings about the extent of our responsibility. There is clearly a fundamental and substantive difference between the liberal Israeli legal system, which deals with guilt and innocence, and traditional Jewish law, which deals with responsibility that is not a function of guilt."

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https://www.google.com/search?q=%22Yom+Kippur+deals+with+something+deeper+than+the+casting+of+blame%3B+it+deals+with+the+question+of+responsibility.+On+Yom+Kippur,+each+of+us+conducts+his/her+own+trial+before+God.+This+process+is+designed+to+be,+an+intensive+and+sincere+internal+investigation.+With+faith,+humility,+and+hope,+we+submit+to+God+our+own+findings+about+the+extent+of+our+responsibility.+There+is+clearly+a+fundamental+and+substantive+difference+between+the+liberal+Israeli+legal+system,+which+deals+with+guilt+and+innocence,+and+traditional+Jewish+law,+which+deals+with+responsibility+that+is+not+a+function+of+guilt.%22&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjogN2r647sAhVLU30KHYcOAHIQ_AUoAnoECAUQBA&biw=1536&bih=758